Fox News - GOP Will Win by ‘Driving Up the White Vote’ Not Pandering to Minorities

[hal2kilo]

The "max white votes" strategy is one that the Republicans will play at their peril.

the percentage of white voters in Presidential elections has dropped steadily in every election since 1976 saved one.
Democrats have over that time averaged ~40% of the votes among white voters. Obama got 43% of the white votes in 2008 and 39% in 2012. He may win 10% of the whites in Mississippi but well over 50% of the white voters in places with few minorities such as New Hampshire or Vermont.


http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/...white-voters-on-par-with-other-democrats?lite

the issues isn't the percentage of white voters, it is where the votes are coming from. The election is determined in 51 separate elections and only closely contested in the battleground states. Who cares if Republicans get 95% of the white votes in Alabama/Tennessee/Texas instead of 90%. The Republicans will need to concentrate their efforts in the industrial rustbelt and midwest i.e. OH, IA, WI, PA, MI without energizing the minority votes. The problem is that battleground states such as OH, VA, FL, CO, PA, etc all have growing or sizable minority populations. The Republicans will need to continue to get more and more of the white votes in those states as the percentage of white voters decline as a percentage of the electorate. In 2004, Bush was able get 58% of the white votes in part by driving conservative voters to the poll with wedge issue i.e. gay marriage bans in many battle ground states. In 2016, if the percentage of white votes declines to 70% from 72%, Bush's 2004 numbers would not be enough for Republicans to win.

Which brings up a good point. What are they going to use as a wedge issue this time around? Constitutional ammendment to get the ssm issue back to the states?

 

[Indus]

Which brings up a good point. What are they going to use as a wedge issue this time around? Constitutional ammendment to get the ssm issue back to the states?

Nostalgia over Iraq.. back into Iraq and to go into Iran. Cue Ahmedinijad or whatever saying holocaust didn't happen.. but he still controls WMD's.. never mind that he's been out of power for a few years..

USA USA USA

 

[MongGrel]

Just NM, not eve bothering this one anymore.

Is just weak all around.

 

[UberNeuman]

So you don't think there's anything wrong with going after a female Republican based on her appearance rather than her ideas?

You're a scumbag. No surprise there though, you're a Democrat, so you're inherently a scumbag.

Noted Democrat Scumbag's Caitlyn Jenner joke to be edited out of TV award show.

As for Ann Coulter, I'm in total disagreement with just about everything she says. I will admit one thing - Ann Coulter has balls.

 

[pcgeek11]

Or we could have... I don't know... politicians who attempt to craft sound policy, ignore populist bullshit, and stop pandering to anyone?

Crazy, I know.

Now this I agree with.

 

[Newell Steamer]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SIlpKyZD1xU

This is the grumpiest pair of old men I've ever seen.

 

[Indus]

Noted Democrat Scumbag's Caitlyn Jenner joke to be edited out of TV award show.

As for Ann Coulter, I'm in total disagreement with just about everything she says. I will admit one thing - Ann Coulter has balls.

ROFL Clint Eastwood a Democrat? Say that to him and he'll shoot you with his 44 magnum.

 

[BurnItDwn]

The republican strategy is to gerrymander to their best possible ability, and create as many obstacles to voting as they can to prevent inner city folks or low income folks from voting. This is part of the same game that they have been playing for many years.

 

[etrigan420]

I will admit one thing - Ann Coulter has balls.

...and a curiously prominent Adam's Apple. :whiste:

 

[soundforbjt]

The republican strategy is to gerrymander to their best possible ability, and create as many obstacles to voting as they can to prevent inner city folks or low income folks from voting. This is part of the same game that they have been playing for many years.

One thing you can be sure about republicans, their base will vote in every election. 2016 will be their year IF the democrats get too lazy to vote.