Originally posted by: alchemize
Pretty much the last resort is printing money and buying T-bills.
Hopefully a wave of refi's is going to take place which should help the mortgage mess and get houses moving again. Then we just have a regular old recession to deal with.
Explain how homeowners with negative equity refinance. I'd love to hear it. Same for Spidey's Heloc reference.
Housing won't start moving again until the remainder of the creative financing deals are flushed out of the system, until the 10 month backlog of unsold housing quits growing, and until prices fall even further.
People seem to think all this hubbub in the financial markets is about saving homeowners. Far from it- people who paid way too much at low rates are screwed one way or the other. Either they default, or make overblown payments until the market catches up to them somewhere down the road, maybe in a decade or so... So long as they're upside down, there's no refi, no heloc- forget it.
It's all about keeping the banks afloat long enough to beat the cash out of the investors who bought their bundled mortgage packages.
Homeowners lucky enough to have their mortgage still in the hands of the bank may get some wiggle room, some renegotiation to keep the cash flowing. Banks' treatment of mortgages they service on the behalf of investors is entirely different. They don't care- they can actually wring more money out of the investors when the homeowners default, because of the fee structure. It fattens their bottom line, helps 'em play catchup wrt the funky mortgages and derivatives they got stuck with when investors got wise...
I suspect that the vast majority of funkiness has been securitized, so, uhh, don't expect any mercy...
I'm having a little trouble figuring out how lowering the interbank rate is supposed to increase liquidity. If I can't make a profit lending to you, why would I bother taking any risk at all? Yeh, sure, it makes borrowing cheaper, but that doesn't matter if nobody is willing to lend...