Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Thump553
quite possible we will incur no additional expense from this "bailout", much less 25 billion. The article takes a worst case scenario.
oh come on, their stock has been getting hammered because they are in truly dire straits. They have $5T in loans, $25B is just make believe numbers.
This piddly recession you talk about probably hasn't even gotten started. The US continues to hemorrhage wealth at an upprecedented rate tryin in earnest to borrow its way out of the current predicament.
The 5TR already have funding.
So then why do they need a government bail out. 25 Billion is .5% of their 5 Trillion in loans so why do they need to be bailed out? Just make the investors eat the .5%.
Financial institutions are required to have a certain amount of capital, because of the write-downs that capital position is being eroded. The investors are already taking a huge loss.
When capital is written down to 0, then the company is essentially a non-continuing concern. If it is written down below 0, then corporate bondholders take losses.
Now, the 5TR is funded through asset-backed debt, that is, the bonds are secured by the cashflows of the underlying mortgages. They're fine essentially. The GSE's hold the bottom piece of that debt, the "first loss" piece, which is the portion being written down, because losses are higher than projected.
The higher rated pieces probably won't realize a dollar of principal loss. Even if they did, it probably wouldn't be much.
GSE conforming mortgages are pretty high quality and default at a pretty low rate, even the ones under some stress.
Overall, this isn't a disaster of epic proportions. It sucks ass and should've been prevented, but at this point we should recognize how to prevent it and move on.