Fannie, Freddie bailout may have $25 billion tag

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Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,381
96
86
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: Specop 007
Nationalize losses, privatize profits.

Nice.

Welcome to the new fascist order, comrade!

:(

F'n government, and the sad thing is that none of presidential candidates are going to change anything. Ron Paul was about the closest to real change of any of the "major" candidates.
 

SleepWalkerX

Platinum Member
Jun 29, 2004
2,649
0
0
Originally posted by: randomlinh
not to bring up ron paul stuff, but wtf is he talking about here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wy6SlUpbnIU attached to this bill is the ability for the IRS to collect all our credit card transactions?

http://freedomworks.com/newsro...late.php?press_id=2571

If you receive more than 10k a year from credit cards or make more than 200 transactions on a credit card then the IRS knows about it. This means that small businesses will have to report their credit card transactions to the IRS which will include your information (it could also include social security numbers and whatever the site uses to verify you).

You didn't even mention the fingerprinting that mortgage brokers are required to make. They're planning on making a national database with this information.

Fuck the government.
 

smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Thump553
quite possible we will incur no additional expense from this "bailout", much less 25 billion. The article takes a worst case scenario.
oh come on, their stock has been getting hammered because they are in truly dire straits. They have $5T in loans, $25B is just make believe numbers.

This piddly recession you talk about probably hasn't even gotten started. The US continues to hemorrhage wealth at an upprecedented rate tryin in earnest to borrow its way out of the current predicament.

The 5TR already have funding.

So then why do they need a government bail out. 25 Billion is .5% of their 5 Trillion in loans so why do they need to be bailed out? Just make the investors eat the .5%.

Financial institutions are required to have a certain amount of capital, because of the write-downs that capital position is being eroded. The investors are already taking a huge loss.

When capital is written down to 0, then the company is essentially a non-continuing concern. If it is written down below 0, then corporate bondholders take losses.

Now, the 5TR is funded through asset-backed debt, that is, the bonds are secured by the cashflows of the underlying mortgages. They're fine essentially. The GSE's hold the bottom piece of that debt, the "first loss" piece, which is the portion being written down, because losses are higher than projected.

The higher rated pieces probably won't realize a dollar of principal loss. Even if they did, it probably wouldn't be much.

GSE conforming mortgages are pretty high quality and default at a pretty low rate, even the ones under some stress.

Overall, this isn't a disaster of epic proportions. It sucks ass and should've been prevented, but at this point we should recognize how to prevent it and move on.

Like I said if it is only .5% let the bond holders eat the losses. Why should the tax payers.
 

Drift3r

Guest
Jun 3, 2003
3,572
0
0
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Ive always stated that high housing costs are the bane of society. It forces people to work longer hours, have two people working, etc.. all so that they can pay more to the bank. This in turn causes increased stress and familial strife. With lower costs of housing, people can save easier, work less, spend more on luxuries or on things like education for their kids or health care for themselves.

On the other hand, foreclosures and the like are likely to increase for the next year or so anyway, especially in higher priced neighborhoods (the new limits on the FHA are 620K), so if you're looking in places like the Bay Area CA or CT or something, prices will likely continue to fall for a while, other places will start to bottom out next year.

Which part of the Bay Area are you talking about because it certainly will not include any place within 15-20 miles of San Francisco that isn't a shit hole.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Thump553
quite possible we will incur no additional expense from this "bailout", much less 25 billion. The article takes a worst case scenario.
oh come on, their stock has been getting hammered because they are in truly dire straits. They have $5T in loans, $25B is just make believe numbers.

This piddly recession you talk about probably hasn't even gotten started. The US continues to hemorrhage wealth at an upprecedented rate tryin in earnest to borrow its way out of the current predicament.

The 5TR already have funding.

So then why do they need a government bail out. 25 Billion is .5% of their 5 Trillion in loans so why do they need to be bailed out? Just make the investors eat the .5%.

Financial institutions are required to have a certain amount of capital, because of the write-downs that capital position is being eroded. The investors are already taking a huge loss.

When capital is written down to 0, then the company is essentially a non-continuing concern. If it is written down below 0, then corporate bondholders take losses.

Now, the 5TR is funded through asset-backed debt, that is, the bonds are secured by the cashflows of the underlying mortgages. They're fine essentially. The GSE's hold the bottom piece of that debt, the "first loss" piece, which is the portion being written down, because losses are higher than projected.

The higher rated pieces probably won't realize a dollar of principal loss. Even if they did, it probably wouldn't be much.

GSE conforming mortgages are pretty high quality and default at a pretty low rate, even the ones under some stress.

Overall, this isn't a disaster of epic proportions. It sucks ass and should've been prevented, but at this point we should recognize how to prevent it and move on.

Like I said if it is only .5% let the bond holders eat the losses. Why should the tax payers.

Taxpayers get the benefit too. You can't always get it both ways. Shitty situation, but you take it up the ass one way or another. You just gotta pick the lube option.

Your choice.
 

smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Thump553
quite possible we will incur no additional expense from this "bailout", much less 25 billion. The article takes a worst case scenario.
oh come on, their stock has been getting hammered because they are in truly dire straits. They have $5T in loans, $25B is just make believe numbers.

This piddly recession you talk about probably hasn't even gotten started. The US continues to hemorrhage wealth at an upprecedented rate tryin in earnest to borrow its way out of the current predicament.

The 5TR already have funding.

So then why do they need a government bail out. 25 Billion is .5% of their 5 Trillion in loans so why do they need to be bailed out? Just make the investors eat the .5%.

Financial institutions are required to have a certain amount of capital, because of the write-downs that capital position is being eroded. The investors are already taking a huge loss.

When capital is written down to 0, then the company is essentially a non-continuing concern. If it is written down below 0, then corporate bondholders take losses.

Now, the 5TR is funded through asset-backed debt, that is, the bonds are secured by the cashflows of the underlying mortgages. They're fine essentially. The GSE's hold the bottom piece of that debt, the "first loss" piece, which is the portion being written down, because losses are higher than projected.

The higher rated pieces probably won't realize a dollar of principal loss. Even if they did, it probably wouldn't be much.

GSE conforming mortgages are pretty high quality and default at a pretty low rate, even the ones under some stress.

Overall, this isn't a disaster of epic proportions. It sucks ass and should've been prevented, but at this point we should recognize how to prevent it and move on.

Like I said if it is only .5% let the bond holders eat the losses. Why should the tax payers.

Taxpayers get the benefit too. You can't always get it both ways. Shitty situation, but you take it up the ass one way or another. You just gotta pick the lube option.

Your choice.

Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: smack Down
Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders

Really? Taxpayers got the benefit of cheap money because of the bondholders. They get the benefit of continuing cheap money.

Besides, a bond is a contract, their assets are secured in true-sale trusts. Your ignorance to this truth and the law supporting it, and the chaos that would result in the repudiation of it, is ridiculously laughable.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,095
513
126
Looks like I changed my sig just in time.

This mortgage bailout that passed the house yesterday with an estimated cost of 300 billion? Feds giving money to localities to buy foreclosed homes? Feds funding credit lines so dumbasses who bought too much house on a zero down interest only loan can stay in too much house?

150 billion stimulation package
300 billion housing package

Half trillion and we are only in July. This congress and this administration will send us 1 trillion in more debt by the end of this year. When you include the several hundred billion deficit for this budget cycle.
 

Rainsford

Lifer
Apr 25, 2001
17,515
0
0
I see a lot of bitching in this thread, but has anyone really done a comparison of the actual costs of a bailout compared with doing nothing at all. Large financial institutions having serious problems have the potential to do a lot of harm to the economy as a whole, so while the knee jerk reaction is to complain about government spending, it may not be smart in the long run to adopt the typical conservative economic attitude ALL the time.

I'm not saying this is true, but I don't see anybody making a real argument otherwise.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,894
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: SleepWalkerX
Originally posted by: randomlinh
not to bring up ron paul stuff, but wtf is he talking about here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wy6SlUpbnIU attached to this bill is the ability for the IRS to collect all our credit card transactions?

http://freedomworks.com/newsro...late.php?press_id=2571

If you receive more than 10k a year from credit cards or make more than 200 transactions on a credit card then the IRS knows about it. This means that small businesses will have to report their credit card transactions to the IRS which will include your information (it could also include social security numbers and whatever the site uses to verify you).

You didn't even mention the fingerprinting that mortgage brokers are required to make. They're planning on making a national database with this information.

Fuck the government.

One more step to a Human credit system.

Where you have a chip implanted and credits are tracked that way.
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,563
9
81
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: SleepWalkerX
Originally posted by: randomlinh
not to bring up ron paul stuff, but wtf is he talking about here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wy6SlUpbnIU attached to this bill is the ability for the IRS to collect all our credit card transactions?

http://freedomworks.com/newsro...late.php?press_id=2571

If you receive more than 10k a year from credit cards or make more than 200 transactions on a credit card then the IRS knows about it. This means that small businesses will have to report their credit card transactions to the IRS which will include your information (it could also include social security numbers and whatever the site uses to verify you).

You didn't even mention the fingerprinting that mortgage brokers are required to make. They're planning on making a national database with this information.

Fuck the government.

One more step to a Human credit system.

Where you have a chip implanted and credits are tracked that way.

Can be break you into 100 pieces to make change?
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: Rainsford
I see a lot of bitching in this thread, but has anyone really done a comparison of the actual costs of a bailout compared with doing nothing at all. Large financial institutions having serious problems have the potential to do a lot of harm to the economy as a whole, so while the knee jerk reaction is to complain about government spending, it may not be smart in the long run to adopt the typical conservative economic attitude ALL the time.

I'm not saying this is true, but I don't see anybody making a real argument otherwise.

That's because they cannot think of X or Y, they just think Y. One track ignorant minds cannot comprehend the damage done. Instead, they focus on tangential issues, or assigning blame.

 

rchiu

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2002
3,846
0
0
Originally posted by: smack Down


Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders

Ignorant statement. Fannie and Freddie has about 5 trillion in asset. If they go under and you have a fire sale of their asset, that 5 trillion probably going to for half of what it's worth. So 2.5 trillion may disappear just like that.

Many of those bond holders are major banks, retirement funds, pension funds. How many bank is gonna go under with that much money disappear just like that? How many retirement funds, pension funds is gonna take a major hit if 2.5 trillion just disappear like that?

I guess no tax payer put money in banks, retirement funds or pension fund eh?
 

Starbuck1975

Lifer
Jan 6, 2005
14,698
1,909
126
I see a lot of bitching in this thread, but has anyone really done a comparison of the actual costs of a bailout compared with doing nothing at all. Large financial institutions having serious problems have the potential to do a lot of harm to the economy as a whole, so while the knee jerk reaction is to complain about government spending, it may not be smart in the long run to adopt the typical conservative economic attitude ALL the time.

The counter argument is that perhaps our nation needs an economic catastrophe as a wake-up call...a government bailout will only reinforce the bubble herd mentality and credit driven culture that continues to plague our society.

Think of the greatest generation, one that survived the Great Depression and went on to fight WW2...that generation understood sacrifice, saving and economic responsibility.

I am fully aware that doing nothing could lead to a Great Depression scenario...but there is a flip side to that coin as well.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: Starbuck1975
I see a lot of bitching in this thread, but has anyone really done a comparison of the actual costs of a bailout compared with doing nothing at all. Large financial institutions having serious problems have the potential to do a lot of harm to the economy as a whole, so while the knee jerk reaction is to complain about government spending, it may not be smart in the long run to adopt the typical conservative economic attitude ALL the time.

The counter argument is that perhaps our nation needs an economic catastrophe as a wake-up call...a government bailout will only reinforce the bubble herd mentality and credit driven culture that continues to plague our society.

Think of the greatest generation, one that survived the Great Depression and went on to fight WW2...that generation understood sacrifice, saving and economic responsibility.

I am fully aware that doing nothing could lead to a Great Depression scenario...but there is a flip side to that coin as well.

Yeah, just like it needs a terrorist attack to wake up. Or the world needs another hitler to wake up. Or needs this or that to wake up.

That's a pretty crappy way of doing business.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,432
6,090
126
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: Starbuck1975
I see a lot of bitching in this thread, but has anyone really done a comparison of the actual costs of a bailout compared with doing nothing at all. Large financial institutions having serious problems have the potential to do a lot of harm to the economy as a whole, so while the knee jerk reaction is to complain about government spending, it may not be smart in the long run to adopt the typical conservative economic attitude ALL the time.

The counter argument is that perhaps our nation needs an economic catastrophe as a wake-up call...a government bailout will only reinforce the bubble herd mentality and credit driven culture that continues to plague our society.

Think of the greatest generation, one that survived the Great Depression and went on to fight WW2...that generation understood sacrifice, saving and economic responsibility.

I am fully aware that doing nothing could lead to a Great Depression scenario...but there is a flip side to that coin as well.

Yeah, just like it needs a terrorist attack to wake up. Or the world needs another hitler to wake up. Or needs this or that to wake up.

That's a pretty crappy way of doing business.

So true and I like to think too much money is at stake to allow it to happen, but none the less, although it's may not be widely known, the human psyche is of such a construct that we are psychologically driven to actualize our fears. It isn't widely known because to see it one has to understand self hate and, unfortunately nobody wants to do that.

The long and the short of it is that we were traumatized as children and removed from the Garden of Eden. Our consciousness was split and now contains a conscious ego and an unconscious longing to get back to the garden which means getting back to the horror of the trauma, but we do it in such a way as to create new trauma and live that vicariously instead of the real trauma which killed us psychically. We know heaven is hiding behind some tremendous disaster so we dream of Rapture and help it along by our unconscious behavior. We have met the enemy and it is us.
 

smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders

Really? Taxpayers got the benefit of cheap money because of the bondholders. They get the benefit of continuing cheap money.

Besides, a bond is a contract, their assets are secured in true-sale trusts. Your ignorance to this truth and the law supporting it, and the chaos that would result in the repudiation of it, is ridiculously laughable.

No shit their is contract. Please tell me where in that contract it says that the US tax payers will repay the bonds?
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders

Really? Taxpayers got the benefit of cheap money because of the bondholders. They get the benefit of continuing cheap money.

Besides, a bond is a contract, their assets are secured in true-sale trusts. Your ignorance to this truth and the law supporting it, and the chaos that would result in the repudiation of it, is ridiculously laughable.

No shit their is contract. Please tell me where in that contract it says that the US tax payers will repay the bonds?

What's the alternative Mr. Wizard? Companies retain a portion supporting the bondholders, as the contract stipulates. The bondholders aren't on the hook for the valuation of that retained piece. If it goes to 0 it is not their responsibility. If they get hit by any losses afterwards, that's their fault.

Now, as far as why taxpayers should support the GSEs, you only have to look to the cheap mortgage rates and financial system to understand that.

Does the situation suck? Yes.

Was it preventable? Yes.

Should we let the system burn because of the previous two questions? Depends, what's the economic cost of letting it burn compared to the economic cost of saving it, then fixing it after it has been saved.

Only a fricking moron would ignore the two scenarios and simply scream "let it burn" without even giving serious consideration to both.

But then again, it's not surprising I see that here, or around this country, there's a lot of fricking morons around.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,432
6,090
126
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: smack Down
Tax payer get zero benefit from paying the bond holders

Really? Taxpayers got the benefit of cheap money because of the bondholders. They get the benefit of continuing cheap money.

Besides, a bond is a contract, their assets are secured in true-sale trusts. Your ignorance to this truth and the law supporting it, and the chaos that would result in the repudiation of it, is ridiculously laughable.

No shit their is contract. Please tell me where in that contract it says that the US tax payers will repay the bonds?

What's the alternative Mr. Wizard? Companies retain a portion supporting the bondholders, as the contract stipulates. The bondholders aren't on the hook for the valuation of that retained piece. If it goes to 0 it is not their responsibility. If they get hit by any losses afterwards, that's their fault.

Now, as far as why taxpayers should support the GSEs, you only have to look to the cheap mortgage rates and financial system to understand that.

Does the situation suck? Yes.

Was it preventable? Yes.

Should we let the system burn because of the previous two questions? Depends, what's the economic cost of letting it burn compared to the economic cost of saving it, then fixing it after it has been saved.

Only a fricking moron would ignore the two scenarios and simply scream "let it burn" without even giving serious consideration to both.

But then again, it's not surprising I see that here, or around this country, there's a lot of fricking morons around.

It could be that the value of the ash would excede their net worth and they are hoping to turn a profit.