Dullard's College Football Rankings Week 7

[dullard]

I'm at home on dialup for the weekend, so I won't reply to flames today, but I'll get around to them sometime during the week. I really need to come up with a better format for pasting into ATOT. Sorry for the long scrolls. For the one person who asked last week: Villanova is killing the other AA teams - at least a 6 point favorite over any other AA team.

Place Rating Team name
1 148.1 Oklahoma
2 142.3 Arkansas
3 140.5 Georgia
4 138.8 Florida St.
5 137.1 LSU
6 136.6 Minnesota
7 134.0 Miami Florida
8 133.8 Nebraska
9 133.7 Texas
10 133.6 Southern California
11 132.4 Virginia Tech
12 131.2 Purdue
13 130.9 Iowa
14 129.9 Miami Ohio
15 129.5 Ohio St.
16 129.1 Washington St.
17 129.1 Oregon St.
18 128.3 Michigan
19 128.3 Kansas St.
20 128.1 Oklahoma St.
21 128.1 Tennessee
22 127.8 Virginia
23 126.6 South Carolina
24 126.1 Kansas
25 125.2 Alabama
26 124.8 Michigan St.
27 124.5 Wake Forest
28 124.2 Boise St.
29 124.1 Northern Illinois
30 123.1 Auburn
31 123.1 Boston College
32 123.1 Maryland
33 122.8 Texas Tech
34 122.7 Louisville
35 122.5 Clemson
36 122.4 Utah
37 122.1 Air Force
38 121.9 Pittsburgh
39 121.3 Syracuse
40 121.0 North Carolina St.
41 120.1 Wisconsin
42 120.0 UCLA
43 120.0 California
44 119.9 Cincinnati
45 118.9 Bowling Green
46 118.5 Penn St.
47 118.2 Colorado St.
48 118.2 UNLV
49 117.8 Oregon
50 117.8 Florida
51 117.8 North Texas
52 117.6 Fresno St.
53 117.1 New Mexico
54 116.7 Georgia Tech
55 116.5 Brigham Young
56 116.3 Iowa St.
57 116.0 Washington
58 115.4 South Florida
59 115.3 Stanford
60 115.2 TCU
61 115.2 Louisiana Tech
62 115.0 West Virginia
63 114.7 Notre Dame
64 114.6 Missouri
65 114.5 Tulsa
66 113.6 Kentucky
67 113.6 Northwestern
68 113.6 Arizona St.
69 113.3 Connecticut
70 113.0 Mississippi
71 112.3 San Diego St.
72 111.6 Southern Miss
73 111.5 Temple
74 111.3 Marshall
75 111.3 Toledo
76 110.8 Houston
77 109.9 Western Michigan
78 109.7 Wyoming
79 109.5 Rutgers
80 109.0 Texas A&M
81 108.9 Colorado
82 108.0 Memphis
83 107.8 Navy
84 105.9 Illinois
85 105.9 Middle Tennessee
86 105.9 North Carolina
87 105.4 Troy St.
88 104.8 Hawaii
89 104.1 New Mexico St.
90 104.0 Nevada
91 104.0 Tulane
92 104.0 UAB
93 103.2 Mississippi St.
94 101.9 Ball St.
95 101.8 Ohio
96 101.7 Duke
97 101.5 Utah St.
98 101.1 Arizona
99 101.0 Akron
100 99.9 Kent St.
101 99.4 Baylor
102 98.4 UCF
103 98.0 Indiana
104 97.8 Vanderbilt
105 97.2 Idaho
106 97.2 Louisiana-Lafayette
107 94.0 San Jose St.
108 92.5 Arkansas St.
109 92.2 East Carolina
110 91.9 Central Michigan
111 91.1 Rice
112 90.6 SMU
113 87.4 UTEP
114 86.6 Army
115 86.3 Louisiana Monroe
116 84.5 Eastern Michigan
117 84.0 Buffalo

 

[squirrel dog]

Lsu beat Ga.

 

[dullard]

Originally posted by: squirrel dog
Lsu beat Ga.

Yes LSU did. And LSU sucked or just scraped by in several cupcake games (the Western Illinois game has hurt them the most so far - at this point the program requires a team to win by at least 35 or so over such a cupcake otherwise a cupcake team brings you down). Overall GA has done better. If LSU keeps playing well, LSU will surpass GA in the ranking (Notice how LSU moved up from last week but GA stayed the same). But as of now GA played much better in its other games.

Note: since the rankings have about a +-7 point variation this early in the season, LSU and GA are tied in my rankings.

No method of rating teams will ever have all the winning teams ranked above all the losing teams - so it isn't worth trying to make a team ranking that does it. For example, there are always circles like this:

X beats Y, Y beats Z, Z beats X.

Now rank X, Y, and Z for me - and make sure the winning team is always above the losing team. It cannot be done. Thus no ranking will ever please everyone. Something else must be used - which is the other 5 games played this season. Just picking one game of the season (LSU vs GA) and basing your entire rating on that will eventually lead to problems where you cannot have all your winners ahead of all your losers.

 

[dullard]

The last one was popular, and this thread died. I'll try a one time bump. I want as much criticism as possible.

 

[Electric Amish]

Utah at 36?? You're more crazy that those that ranked them at 28! They should be in the top 25. Period.

 

[MikeMike]

OSU at 15???

maimi of ohio at 14!!!!!!!

MIKE

 

[PunDogg]

y is Pitt soo low? they beat a&m last week

Dogg

 

[dullard]

Utah at 36?? You're more crazy that those that ranked them at 28! They should be in the top 25. Period.

Ah there is the type of comments I was expecting. At the moment the computer is saying Oregon and Texas A&M are playing horribly (compared to what they have done in the past years). Losing to A&M is Utah's main pull down so far. Thus yes Utah looks great, but they still have no wins over a team that is playing well this year. But if you look at the ratings (differences in the rating is how the computer expects a team to do on a neutral field) Utah is just 3 points out of the top 25. Thus teams 25-35 are only expected to beat Utah by less than a field goal. Put Utah on a home field where the home team averages about 3 points, and the computer expects Utah to beat all those teams. Basically I'm saying those teams are roughly in a tie. When there are nearly 40 teams with 1 loss or less, this happens - a close tie between many of the teams. Things will sort out. If Utah can beat San Diego St. by more than 10 points, Utah will likely move up next week.

OSU at 15???
maimi of ohio at 14!!!!!!!

OSU is in a virtual tie with Miami of Ohio. Score is important in the program, and a 3 oint win over cupcake San Diego St. hurt OSU. As the weeks go on points will be less important and OSU may move up. Miami of Ohio has had convincing wins - puting it in a tie with OSU.

y is Pitt soo low? they beat a&m last week

Same reason that Utah isn't helped by A&M's low score this year. A&M only has 2 wins, and neither of those wins were convincing. Thus A&M is ranked #80. Not much bragging should be done from beating a team ranked 80.

 

[pecel]

BOOMER SOONER !!


TexasS Next

 

[dullard]

Originally posted by: pecel
BOOMER SOONER !!
TexasS Next

Oklahoma is outright winning - with lots of room to spare. Thus if Oklahoma doesn't let down they look to be a clear shot to the national title game. But things are still early. Major changes might happen - injuries, poor coaching, etc.

So far it says Oklahoma over Texas by 15. But since it is at Texas, I'd personally give Texas a few more points. Lets say Oklahoma by 11. Being a native Nebraskan, I'd have to say go Texas - I like to publicly state my bias.