No errors found. Except in a dream I had the other night: The familiar red line popped up on the memtest screen, I thought "ooh!", then immediately woke up and thought, "crap.".
Prime95 blend for a couple of hours: OK
Memtest86+ for about 5 passes (4 or 5 hours IIRC): OK
Windows memory diagnostic: OK
Firefox FishIE tank for about an hour (I checked that it was giving the iGPU a good workout): OK
full chkdsk on SSD: OK
The original symptom was that the screen would go blank or freeze during use. I found that even when sitting idle it would do it too. The original symptom could easily have been graphics related so I updated the driver. As the system was upgraded through the free offer from Win8x to Win10, I took a look at the storage driver which was dated 2013, and as no Win10 RST driver is apparently available for it I switched over to the standard storahci one. Since I did those things it isn't been problematic in Windows, but I guess I wasn't overly convinced that a Win10 system that has had no recent major updates (KB4462919 was installed on the date that it started having problems though, mental note to look into compatibility issues with that) installed recently should out of the blue start acting weird so I suspected hardware. I wonder whether I've been barking up the wrong tree.
Since those driver updates I've mostly been letting Windows run idle for several hours at a time and disabled sleep mode, no problems.
I hate intermittent issues.