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Delegate math for the remaining primaries

rockyct

Diamond Member
Jun 23, 2001
6,656
32
91
http://marcambinder.theatlanti...e_math_the_numbers.php

I thought this was an interesting look at the math for the remaining Democratic primaries. He gives a solid win in Ohio to Hillary and a slight win in Texas, which could very well happen. Even with slightly inflated numbers for Hillary, unless the dynamic of the race changes, it would be very hard to win as she probably could only net 60 delegates. Of course, there's a good chance all of this stuff will be meaningless by tomorrow. It sure is a great time to be a political junkee.
 

rockyct

Diamond Member
Jun 23, 2001
6,656
32
91
I'm going to bump this up because his numbers had even given a win to Clinton and Texas and Ohio.
 

M0RPH

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2003
3,305
1
0
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
 

palehorse

Lifer
Dec 21, 2005
11,521
0
76
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
67,357
4,073
126
Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
Yup the Politburo should decide.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,816
83
91
Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
that's what the SD's are there for, unless Obama's too good to play by the rules ;)

personally, I blame Howard Dean for this entire debacle.

he had any number of chances to head this off, starting with not killing his campaign in '04.
 

M0RPH

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2003
3,305
1
0
Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
No, actually I do think the popular vote should be VERY important in determining the nominee. Even though I have my reservations about how it's calculated, in light of places like Texas where voters actually got to vote twice, once in a primary and once in a caucas. Regardless, I believe that after all is said and done, and FL and MI have revoted (I'm very confident this will happen), Hillary will be ahead in the popular vote.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
67,357
4,073
126
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
No, actually I do think the popular vote should be VERY important in determining the nominee. Even though I have my reservations about how it's calculated, in light of places like Texas where voters actually got to vote twice, once in a primary and once in a caucas. Regardless, I believe that after all is said and done, and FL and MI have revoted (I'm very confident this will happen), Hillary will be ahead in the popular vote.
Fine, then I propose we have Obama or Clinton as a Democratic choice and if the Democrats get more votes than Republicans the Democrat with the most votes wins.
 

smack Down

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2005
4,507
0
0
Originally posted by: palehorse74
Originally posted by: M0RPH
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Yup, mathematically impossible for her to win.
If you want to say that then I'll say that it's mathematically impossible for him to win as well, since it requires 2,025 delegates to win.
how about:

"Unless Obama dies, it's mathematically impossible for Hillary to lead in pledged delegates going into the convention"

But you've already let everyone know how you feel about those pesky voters who keep getting in her way, so why am I bothering to debate this with you?

You seem quite content to let the super-delegates override the popular vote AND the pledged delegate count.

shocker.
If you think that then you fail at math.
 

Starbuck1975

Lifer
Jan 6, 2005
14,651
1,883
126
And this is why Hillary's lawyers are probably currently in the process of sharpening their knives.

Watching the Democrats implode from within due to their own archaic and chaotic nomination process is the best reality television currently on air.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,327
783
126
Originally posted by: rockyct
http://marcambinder.theatlanti...e_math_the_numbers.php

I thought this was an interesting look at the math for the remaining Democratic primaries. He gives a solid win in Ohio to Hillary and a slight win in Texas, which could very well happen. Even with slightly inflated numbers for Hillary, unless the dynamic of the race changes, it would be very hard to win as she probably could only net 60 delegates. Of course, there's a good chance all of this stuff will be meaningless by tomorrow. It sure is a great time to be a political junkee.
By all estimates worst case scenario she is +1 for the last night. Best case scenario she is +18 for the night.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
67,357
4,073
126
Originally posted by: Starbuck1975
And this is why Hillary's lawyers are probably currently in the process of sharpening their knives.

Watching the Democrats implode from within due to their own archaic and chaotic nomination process is the best reality television currently on air.
I don't think we're going to implode. I think we're going to explode from Hillary's ego. Better McCain wins than she lose.
 

umbrella39

Lifer
Jun 11, 2004
13,819
1,123
126
It has been on WJR all day here in Detroit how a Michigan and a probable Florida "re-vote" is in the works ($$$$ to do this 2x) ffs.
 

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