Dawn of a New Age in the Middle East?

Dari

Lifer
Oct 25, 2002
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38
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The Middle East is awash with diplomatic initiatives. Libya is talking to Israel. Egypt is talking to Iran. Turkey is passing messages from Israel to Syria.

In fact, almost the only people who are not talking to each other are Israel and the Palestinians.

This is big picture diplomacy. The discussions are not about this settlement or that road, but about and between states not on speaking terms for a generation.

"The war against terrorism launched by the Americans in Afghanistan and Iraq has brought Israel and its Arab neighbours closer than ever before," said Efraim Halevy, the former head of Mossad.

Briefing foreign journalists in Jerusalem, Mr Halevy said the potential for change in the region was more now than during the early part of the 20th Century, when the great powers redrew the map of the Middle East.

Exaggerated hopes? There was certainly a mood of genuine excitement in Israel when news broke that some "initial contacts" had been made with Libya.

But Israeli officials have been playing down expectations that normal ties can be restored easily or quickly.

Old Enemy

There is still less optimism about Syria.

President Bashar al-Assad wants talks. Israel has conditions. These seem to reflect Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's caution in dealing with the Jewish state's old enemy.

First of all, Damascus will have to curb the activities of Hezbollah as it wages a sporadic guerrilla war against Israel on its northern border.

Other demands include closing Hamas and Islamic Jihad offices in Damascus, arranging prisoner swaps for Israeli soldiers missing in Lebanon, and allowing the remains of the spy Eli Cohen to be returned for burial in Israel.

Some Israelis believe President Assad is not serious about talks. If he was, they say, he would have used diplomatic back channels rather than calling for talks in an interview with Britain's Daily Telegraph.

Newspapers here also quote US officials as saying that even if President Assad wanted to sign a peace deal with Israel, they are not convinced he is strong enough to do so.

The principle demand of both Israel and the United States is that Syria close down what are held to be its chemical and biological weapons programmes. Syria has stopped short of fully acknowledging it has such programmes.

Peace talks

American officials say President Assad has not yet come to terms with the fact that US troops are on his border. Others disagree.

"Syria is an isolated country, with a tyrannical regime trying to survive in the face of an historic tidal wave that is removing such tyrannies," said the influential former Prime Minister, and current Israeli Finance Minister, Binyamin Netanyahu.

He told Israeli radio: "Syria needs a peace arrangement with us like the air they breathe; they need it much more than we do. The advantage is totally on our side."

It is Mr Netanyahu's calculation that Syria is weak now and can be pressured into peace without Israel having to give up all of the Golan Heights.

This is why some in Israel are pressing for a positive answer to Syria's overtures.

The head of the Knesset's defence and foreign relations committee - an ally of Mr Netanyahu's - has called for President Assad to be invited to talk peace in Jerusalem, just as President Sadat of Egypt once did.

Despair

All this is a sign that the Iraq war has transformed the strategic situation in the Middle East. Wars have a way of doing that.

Some things remain the same. Glancing over the Israeli papers on Friday, there was one of those stories which just makes you despair about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The report, in Haaretz, began: "It was a bitter cold night at the Deir Balut checkpoint and Lamis Mustafa, who was in labour, begged to be allowed to get to the hospital. The soldiers delayed her for about 90 minutes. She gave birth at the checkpoint. Neither of her twin babies survived."

The diplomatic landscape is changing. The question is if that will alter the sad dynamic of the conflict here after more than three years of bloodshed.

 

Genesys

Golden Member
Nov 10, 2003
1,536
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i bet those sneaky arab countries are trying to get Isreal to backstab us! then and only then will Israel be accepted as a middle eastern country!

:D
 

Strk

Lifer
Nov 23, 2003
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Last I read President Assad had very little power. Since the death of his father, much of the power has gone to high ranking party members. I could be wrong, but that was the last thing I heard about him. Either way, it would be nice to see a more stable Middle East. Unfortunately, I do not see stability occuring anytime soon.
 

TheBDB

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2002
3,176
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Are those people finally realizing they have to live next to each other so they might as well live in peace?? One can hope....
 

Kermit

Member
Nov 29, 1999
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Yeah, this is the dawn of a new age.
Americans are also being killed here in addition to Arabs and Jews.
Big step forward.