Yeah, OP, not sure where you're getting this from. Seeing as how Ryzen 2000 series was out mid-late April, that leaves a lot of room. Ryzen 2 seems ahead of the curve (although much of that will probably be tailored for EPYC markets early on), too so it potentially could be out earlier than the 2000 series was.
At least they will have more 14/12nm capacity at GF for GPUs when ZEN 2 will be released sometime in 2019.
For what? Even consumer GPU is going 7nm. Unless AMD starts selling RX 580s for like $100 (which I'd expect that AMD is probably going to go after the low, $150 and below market with another Polaris rebadge), I don't know what extra capacity they'd need. Its not gonna help Vega get cheap enough. I don't know maybe mobile Vega? But personally if I were AMD I'd be trying to get Ryzen 2 and bin Navi to put in laptops.
Intel's targeting 2020, but I don't think they've narrowed it down any more than that. Not expecting much from their first try but we'll see.
Hopefully Navi ends up much more competitive than Vega. They've restructured their GPU R&D division and are able to give it some more funding, so we'll see if that pays off. Full effect of an effective restructure and increased budget probably wouldn't be seen until Navi2 or whatever comes after, but hopefully Navi gets some benefit as well.
I have a hunch it'll be later 2020, and won't be surprised if it gets delayed, or for them to do something odd (like release cards to developers or something, but not sell them for awhile, just so they can get them up and working as best as they can before they sell them).
Sounds like they did that before Raja even left, so it'll be almost 2 years, I think it'll show some. I don't know that it'll matter too much in consumer dGPU (they supposedly were putting focus on Navi for the PS5). Will be interesting to see how Navi turns out and what AMD's GPU roadmap looks like going forward. I think they'll probably keep that pretty close to the vest until they're ready to get things moving (kinda like with Ryzen).
I still think Vega are good cards if you're a hi-res gamer on FreeSync, but there were quite a few things that factored in to why they didn't make as big of a mark as was hoped. I won't fully dismiss Navi of course but now we have GDDR6 being introduced and who knows what else between now and 2020, HBM3??
Consumer Vega was doomed by the HBM. It made it impossible to compete on price, and I think there's been some indication that it was partly to blame on other aspects (I see people able to undervolt the GPU a good amount, but voltage adjustment gets wonky apparently because of the HBM power). Plus going to 2048 from the 4096 of Fury really hurt (and I see people saying that Vega is likely pretty bandwidth constrained). I think there's possibly some other issues involved. It would've been nice if AMD had readied a GDDR5X version for the early part of this year. Especially if they could've maybe made some adjustment for 12nm (maybe if nothing else be able to be more efficient/clock). Although maybe for the best to just move on.
I think we see consumer cards go all GDDR6.
I think it's unlikely but it's still possible AMD releases a Vega 20 gamer card, even if it's a Frontier Edition part.
That would be nice, but I imagine it'd be so stupid expensive that even if it had competitive performance, it'd make the RTX cards seem like good value. A Frontier version might be intriguing though if the new HPC features are worthwhile, but even that would be pointless as it'd likely just take away actual HPC sales. But if they can price it decently, and the performance is there, I'd love to see it.