LunarRay
Diamond Member
- Mar 2, 2003
- 9,993
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Originally posted by: chowderhead
Originally posted by: LunarRay
Originally posted by: DealMonkey
You're either with us, or you're a Bushie! Oh wait, no. Never mind, that was stupid.
I've heard that before somewhere..
Clark is electable. He could command all the big coastal states including Florida and probably pick up Arkansas and Tennessee along with a small central northern state.. if Kerrey of Nebraska ran with him, he'd pick up that state too. I also think New Mexico would lean his way. No other democratic hopeful could manage this. I don't think.. In any event, he also has the Clinton machine with him in all the key slots and Bush's strong hold, the military would move away from Bush towards Clark but, they already are in the large state calc's.
To win the democratic nod, Clark just needs to act presidential and charismatic. If he gets hit with US Economic issues he needs to stick to vision and not specifics. In Foreign affairs... focus on how to undo the ill advised philosophy of the current administration.. while being strong... Americans like strong.. especially, the Central State folks.. Flags and Strength will carry the day.
At no time mention Hillary. She would upset the close states that he needs.. She has democratic support but, he'd get that anyway.. the game would be won by attracting the Bush states to his column..
First rule in politics is to never count your chickens ... but I agree with a lot of this assessment except New Mexico because that is a very winnable soutwest state regardless, for any Democrat as it is trending more Democratic with more hispanics and a sorta popular hispanic, Democratic Governor though Gore only won the state (his only southwest state) by like 3000 votes. Nevada is also winnable simply because of the Yucca Valley radiation dump issue. I don't think that any national Democrat can win a northern central state.
Clark can be very competitive in the South. The Democrats need to be at least competitive in the South to win this election, IMO. They need one large southern state like Florida or a combination of smaller states like Arkansas, Tennessee. I would be very curious to hear his views on gun control as that is delicate issue in many swing states i.e Michigan, Pennsylvania, Missouri, etc.
A combination of much of the Rust Belt, California, New York, New England and one large southern state would win the presidency.
I think I'd not argue against your assessment. Maybe more realistic than mine. We will see where the $ is spent and depending on who wins the nod what the focus on which southern states. I really feel that Clark is the only one who can swing the Southern states... but, who knows.. I'm just an accountant... I'll count the votes..