Originally posted by: Capitalizt
Originally posted by: Evan Lieb
Originally posted by: Capitalizt
Paul is attracting thousands of people who have never voted before...They are never included in the polling.
People are drawn to Paul's message when they hear it. He is promising a radical change from the corrupt system we have today in America, and that appeals to millions.
Not sure if that's accurate. Good polls are the ones done soundly from a scientific and statistical standpoint; correctly identify your target population (U.S.) and parameters (D, R, I), carefully draw your sample via random selection, and then interpret the results as best you can. Unless you're saying there are millions that want Paul that have never registered to vote before, presumably because they're very young, then I agree with you on that premise. Hopefully enough people vote for Paul so that a more moderate version of him might spring up someday.
Those "good" polls track "likely republican voters"...taking the opinions of people who still consider themselves republicans. What they fail to take into account is that the republican base has *SHRUNK DRAMATICALLY* over the past few years. The number of people who identify themselves as republicans has crashed to around 30%, vs 50% just a decade ago. All the republican party has left are religious conservatives and war hawks who think we should flatten the middle east with no regard for the cost in American lives.
The GOP has completely lost a HUGE segment of it's base...those who believe in limited government and greater personal freedom. The Reagan republicans are GONE...disgusted in the growth of spending we have seen under republican rule for the past 8 years, and the continuation of this unnecessary war. The party has had one of it's legs chopped off, and they are trying to pretend nothing is wrong.
Ron Paul is reminding them otherwise...reminding them just how far they have strayed from their principles, and what a disaster for this country it will be if we continue on the current path. This is a strong message that resonates with millions of Americans. People are truly passionate about it and are happy to spread it to others, so it's only a matter of time before Paul's numbers start soaring even in the "official" polls.