Can somebody help with me two probability problems?

ctark

Senior member
Sep 6, 2004
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First one is.

A cellular phone manufacturer randomly selects 8 of every 100 phones from the assembly line and tests them. If at least 7 out of the 8 selected pass inspection then the batch of 100 is considered acceptable. Find the probability tht the batch is considered acceptable if there are 4 defective phones in a batch.

I set the problem up as

(96 C 8 + (96 C 7 x 4 C 1))/100 C 8

But it came out with a approx 1.009, which is wrong because it needs to be below 1.

Second one:

A fair six sided die is rolled 10 times. What is the probability that the roll of 2 will occur exactly 6 times?

I have yet to find an example to give me clues how to do this.
 

ctark

Senior member
Sep 6, 2004
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I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.
 

rivan

Diamond Member
Jul 8, 2003
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Originally posted by: ctark
I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.

It's not 11 am (cst) yet. Most of them are sleeping in, comfortable on their money-stuffed mattresses, next to their supermodel wives.
 

BigJ

Lifer
Nov 18, 2001
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On the second one, you need to compute the odds of it rolling 2 (1/6) 6 times , and rolling it not 2 (5/6) the other 4 times. It seems fairly intuitive, but the 2nd part is where most people slip up.

 

aesthetics

Golden Member
May 12, 2008
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Originally posted by: ctark
I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.

GTFO.

Maybe we just don't want to help some punk who posts his homework on the internet.......
 

UncleWai

Diamond Member
Oct 23, 2001
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Hi I will do those questions for you if you agree to let me do your girlfriend too.

It seems you haven't even tried to put common sense into the probability concept and just tried to plug some numbers into formulas that don't apply.
First question, what are the scenarios that the test will pass?
7 of 8 tested functional, 8 of 8 tested functional. Probability of picking 1 from the batch to be functional = 96/100. probability of defective is 1 - P(functional) = 4/100

Second question, apply the same complimentary probability. Each roll of the dice is independent.

 

ctark

Senior member
Sep 6, 2004
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Originally posted by: UncleWai
Hi I will do those questions for you if you agree to let me do your girlfriend too.

It seems you haven't even tried to put common sense into the probability concept and just tried to plug some numbers into formulas that don't apply.
First question, what are the scenarios that the test will pass?
7 of 8 tested functional, 8 of 8 tested functional. Probability of picking 1 from the batch to be functional = 96/100. probability of defective is 1 - P(functional) = 4/100

Second question, apply the same complimentary probability. Each roll of the dice is independent.

On the cell phone problem I did it the same way shown above on my homework and it was counted correct, but he could just have overlooked it. I redid the problem in my calculator and i got a .96xxxx of probability acceptable. I believe thats right.
 

puffff

Platinum Member
Jun 25, 2004
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The first one basically boils down to a much simpler problem. Given 8 phones, and knowing that each one has a 1/25 chance of being defective, what are the chances that none of them are defective?

(24/25) ^ 8 ought to be your answer.
 

BigJ

Lifer
Nov 18, 2001
21,330
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Originally posted by: puffff
The first one basically boils down to a much simpler problem. Given 8 phones, and knowing that each one has a 1/25 chance of being defective, what are the chances that none of them are defective?

(24/25) ^ 8 ought to be your answer.

Your restrictions are too severe.

1 of the 8 is allowed to be defective for the batch to pass.
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
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Originally posted by: BigJ
On the second one, you need to compute the odds of it rolling 2 (1/6) 6 times , and rolling it not 2 (5/6) the other 4 times. It seems fairly intuitive, but the 2nd part is where most people slip up.

Don't forget that there's more than one order to have it happen.
 

potoba

Senior member
Oct 17, 2006
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Originally posted by: ctark
I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.

Will give you the answers when i have time.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
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Originally posted by: ctark
I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.

the smart people like me picked careers where we don't have to do math problems. but the answers are

1) mary poppins
2) pickles
 

Epic Fail

Diamond Member
May 10, 2005
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Originally posted by: DrPizza
Originally posted by: BigJ
On the second one, you need to compute the odds of it rolling 2 (1/6) 6 times , and rolling it not 2 (5/6) the other 4 times. It seems fairly intuitive, but the 2nd part is where most people slip up.

Don't forget that there's more than one order to have it happen.

Yup, no 2 isn't as easy as it seems.

OP, read this.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H...geometric_distribution
 

GagHalfrunt

Lifer
Apr 19, 2001
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Originally posted by: ctark
I figured with all the smart people here with 7 figure incomes somebody would know how to do this.

People with 7 figure incomes didn't get there by doing someone elses homework for them.