Originally posted by: kranky
Originally posted by: boggsie
Originally posted by: bob4432
i would look at the trends in your area. i am in phx az and last year houses went up an average of 48.5% and condos went up an average of 50.5%. in '03 my wife and i bought a condo in a good neighborhood for $125K and now it is worth ~$280-300K, so there is some equity nearly built in, and we are paying about the same as we were in a apt including the hoa fees but not including the tax right off, so for us it was a no brainer, just wish i would have bought another one in our complex....
This is a perfect reason to get in touch with the board of realtors. If you are in the Phoenix/Scottsdale area, prices are skyrocketing and will only go higher in the next 5 years.
I've stayed out of this thread waiting to see if ANYONE would comment about the recent downturn in the housing market. Hasn't anyone noticed that the "skyrocketing" markets are now looking a lot less appealing? ESPECIALLY Phoenix. There are 3x more homes for sale there now than a year ago. The speculators are bailing out.
I just read a story on azcentral.com about a couple who put their home up for sale in November, have already cut the price twice, and still no buyers. Six months ago, the place would have sold instantly.
I laughed when I read a quote from the head of the multilist service there saying, "We are returning to a more normal market than we have had over the past year or so." In real estate-speak, that means he's crapping his pants. The party is over in Phoenix, SoCal, Sacremento, DC, Boston and other places. Listings are way up, prices are dropping. Search the web for yourself.
Asking a real estate agent if it's a good time to buy a house is like asking the barber if you need a haircut. OF COURSE they are going to say buy now. If you don't buy now, they don't make any money.
In 2007 the number of foreclosed properties is going to be astronomical. All the buyers who got no-doc, interest-only, adjustable loans because they really couldn't afford it anyway will get socked with giant increases in their mortgages with rates going up.
In California, only 14% of the population can afford to own a home. Does anyone seriously think that is a sustainable number? 60% of the mortgages in CA last year were "stated income" loans - meaning you could claim anything you wanted as income in order to qualify for the mortgage. Many of those people had a ridiculous plan: lie about their income to get the mortgage, hope to survive the payments for a year, then sell when the price goes up another 25%. Now that prices quit going up, but the payments haven't, those people haven't a prayer of not defaulting.
You think prices are dropping now, just wait until that crapstorm hits.