Originally posted by: ericlp
Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: ericlp
-snip-
but really...
Tho, you guys should read what the energy department said ... After that, get back to us.
A mute issue weather we did start drilling. I just think it was more PR for bush and a waste of time for the nation. And yeah, I'm a little pissed off on all the money and waste that comes from the guy.
And maybe you should
do a little more reading yourself.
I posted not long ago infomation on how oil pricing and speculation etc. works, and how price sensitive oil is to demand. A little swing in either demand or supply results in big price changes.
As the article explains, projected future demand/supply is estimated/calculated and impacts price NOW. Factor in that along with the price sensitivity and the impact resulting from from opening up drilling will likely have a beneficial influence on price now. (Note: Of course must factor in projected increase in demand from Asia/China. However, the aggregate global increases in production will still always counter the increased price pressure from forecasted increased global demand. I.e., worst case is that increased forecast supply will negate increased demand and prevent prices from rapidly rising, instead of just droping current prices. Eother way, it's a benefit.)
BTW: I find it odd that some of you who refuse to believe anything said by this goverment under GWB wanna rely on the DOE now.
Fern
I think maybe you should "LEARN" how to read. I don't see anywhere that it says "speculation" ...
Which post or article are you referring to? If it's the EIA/DOE report, that's irrelevant. In my post I clearly indicated where my remarks about speculation were coming from You don't know what would have happened if we lifted the ban on OS Drilling unless you have a crystal ball? Supply and Demand does not = speculation.
That effing retarded. Of course speculators look at supply/demand and or projected supply and demand. What do you think they are basing their investment strategy on, a coin toss?
I believe it would have "NO EFFECT" now and we certainly "KNOW" that the push for OSD would have ZERO effect for the next 20 years and then would have little to no effect after that. Now if I were a speculator and read that you really think that news would tip me over to dump my oil stocks?? Get real!!!! Grow a few brain cells and get back to us!
So what is your point? I have a link to back up my claims, you don't.
What good is your link? You haven't read it. All your have is speculation on what would happen to the speculation if we started the drilling. Your argument is BOGUS....
See some bolded commenst above, and:
My point is that you haven't read what the report says.
Go read it, especially since you want to keep referring to it.
we certainly "KNOW" that the push for OSD would have ZERO effect for the next 20 years
That's BS.
Look at the assumptions the EIA/DOE is making; it's effing ridiculous.
Let me help you.
HERE is the report you keep referring to. Read it please, paying particularly close attention to the assumptions.
Here's one:
The EIA/DOE uses an assuimption that opening up ANWAR and both coasts plus the Gulf of Mexico will allow for an additional 18 billion barrels of oil.
With these assumptions, technically recoverable undiscovered resources in the lower 48 OCS increase to 59 billion barrels of oil and 288 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, as compared with the reference case levels of 41 billion barrels and 210 trillion cubic feet.
How much is in ANWAR alone?
ANWAR reserve estimates are in the neighborhood of 16 billion barrels, which would replace the equivalent of what we currently import from Saudi Arabia
Link
So opening up two whole coasts plus the rest of the Gulf of Mexico results in only 2 BB? (Remember ANWAR accounts for 16BB). Look, you believe this stupid shit if you wanna, but for the love of god please stop reading *summaries* of a report (which itself is demonstarable garbage) and trying to post here as if you know something abouit the topic.
Do a little research. Here I'll help you. Check
HERE.
The federal government estimates the nation's outer continental shelf might hold 85.9 billion barrels of crude
The continental shelf itself is estimated to hold
86 BB of oil. Looks like the EIA forgot to include that in it's estimate. :roll:
But that's just ONE coast, how much off the West coast? How much more in the Gulf of Mexico?
Go check out the assumptions for when leases will be signed, and drilling begun. Hint, it ain't NOW like you people keep saying (again, making it damn plain you haven't even read what you attempt to quote).
Fern