I could have told you that Vaughn was gonna stink. Take a guy who was merely average for a first baseman in his last full season, give him an entire year on the DL, and add another 25 pounds of fat, and you aren't looking at a guy likely to return to his 97-98 form.
Also, Burnitz is the protype of the player who drops of a career cliff at 33 or 34. Players who are reasonably low average, high K, high BB, high HR players, often see their production plummet when they reach the age where maybe their bat speed drops, or a hitch develops. It has happened to many a player, but I never thought Burnitz would drop this much. My guess was a loss of 60-90 OPS points which would make him a league average to slightly above average outfielder.
Alomar, I will admit I never predicted a major drop off in offensive numbers. I felt that his '01 was likely a bit better than he should ahve been given his age, and that some offensive decline was natural, but the extent of the decline totally shocked me. On the other hand, I knew his D would be fairly bad. I also knew that Vaughn (no surprise) Burnitz (none either) and Cedeno (definately no surprise) would also be terrible. Alomar has long been overrated for his glove, as his unexceptional range and sabermetric fielding numbers indicate. Ordonez also is overrated on d, he hasn't been gold glove caliber since 1999, and his dropoff has been dramatic. The fact is the Mets D has been terrible, and when you are a fairly low K pitching staff, you need a good defense behind you. This was a collection of average to pathetic range fielders (errors be damned,) and that is a recipe for disaster, especially when your bats aren't as good as everyone thinks they are.