ATI in Trouble...

clarkey01

Diamond Member
Feb 4, 2004
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http://www.penstarsys.com/editor/company/ati/r520/index.html


I have received some rather interesting information about some of the issues facing ATI at this time. Several months ago it was suggested that ATI would be unveiling the R520 chip in April, then that time was pushed back to May, then it was rumored that it would be released during Computex. Now, all of those times have passed, and so far no next generation product from ATI. Several pieces of information have dropped into my hands, and I thought that I would share them here.

The R520 was supposedly taped out around 7 to 8 months ago (I haven?t been able to pin down an exact time). Now, it usually takes a good three months before production quality silicon can be received back from the Fab (this includes time to get first silicon, make possible metal layer changes, respin the design, etc.). Once production quality is achieved, then the initial orders for the production parts are sent and it takes generally around three more months to get these initial orders back from the Fab and packaged and sent off to the board partners. So, it typically takes around six months between the initial tapeout to when we can expect solid quantities of products to be hitting the shelves. So far that of course has not happened.

It has been widely commented on that TSMC?s 90 nm Low-K process is actually quite robust, and the yields and bins are better than expected with such a new and complex process. So if ATI?s R520 taped out so long ago, and TSMC?s process is running at a higher efficiency than expected for this time frame, where are the R520 parts? The information I have received paints a rather grim picture for ATI. Add to that the recent information released by ATI about the lower than expected revenues due to product pressure and poor yields and packaging problems, things are not as happy as they should be.

The information on the R520 suggests that there are some extreme yield problems with the current design. Not only are there few working dice per wafer, but a large number of those dice only have 16 pixel units working, and others are lucky to get 24 working. The information I received suggested that the R520 was in fact designed with 32 pixel units (each with multiple ALU?s), but due to the issues that the chip is facing, very few of them so far are fully functioning. There are of course fully functioning parts that have been shown behind closed doors, and apparently Abit showed off a working card at AConn that scored some impressive 3D Marks.

Another issue that ATI appears to be running into with the R520 is current leakage. AMD and Intel got around most of their current leakage problems with some advanced fabrication techniques and overall design. While the Pentium 4 Prescott is a pretty leaky monster, it also runs at 3.8 GHz at max. Once this gets turned down to under 3.0 GHz it starts to act a lot nicer. AMD uses a combination of design, SOI, and strained silicon to keep leakage at a minimum. Intel on the other hand uses Low-K and strained silicon to keep current leakage in check. While TSMC?s process runs Low-K, they do not offer strained technology. Also, ATI is using standard cells to design their chips, as compared to AMD and Intel which use full custom cell designs (which is one of the reasons why graphics chips run at 500 MHz vs. a processor which runs above 2.0 GHz). A standard cell gives ASIC designers a quick way to achieve complex layouts with a minimal amount of engineering resources, while a full custom design will give greater performance and better power features than a standard cell, but it requires hundreds of dedicated engineers to layout a complex custom cell design. While ATI has signed agreements with companies such as Intrinsity, which promises to give its customers custom cell performance at standard cell prices, so far we have yet to see the fruits of such collaborations. From my understanding, the R520 is not going to utilize dynamic logic, but rather standard CMOS technology.

This bit of information leads to a second possible problem. ATI also is trying to perfect the R500 chip, which will be used in the X-Box 360. Is the R500 going through the same teething process as the R520? It is hard to say, especially because the R500 is a totally different architecture with a much different design methodology. The R500 does not necessarily have to hit high clock speeds, so that takes a lot of the binning pressure off. Because the X-Box 360 is a closed architecture, as long as the R500 hits the minimum performance criteria set by Microsoft, it doesn?t need to run at 600 MHz to achieve its performance goals. It is not as if ATI is in a runoff with another company, and whichever company builds the faster product with good yields gets the contract. So, production pressure is not as extreme for ATI with the R500 as it is for the R520.

With this information in hand, it looks as if NVIDIA could have a big leg up on ATI for the next several quarters. While the rumored specs of the G70 are not as impressive as that of the R520, NVIDIA looks to have no problems producing G70 chips. This is actually quite reminiscent of the R300/NV30 situation. One company decided to use a new process for a large and complex part, while the other company sacrificed die size and overall clock speed to achieve more sustainable yields (and less risk). My impression is that the R520 is not a dog, and will be a very competent SM 3.0 part, but the ability to adequately cool/power/produce the R520 is in severe doubt at this time. While ATI will most likely respin the design (or already has done so many times) to achieve better yields and lower leakage, their time to market will be severely impacted by the issues that they have encountered so far. If the latest design they have sent off for production is a success, we still will not see the R520 introduced until early Fall, and then we have to question the availability of this product. While the G70 is a huge die on 110 nm (or so the current speculation goes), that is a very well known and mature process that will allow solid yields and speed bins for a product designed for it.


 

McArra

Diamond Member
May 21, 2003
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This is no good, no hard competence= higher prices..... Hope they can fix it on time.
 

Ackmed

Diamond Member
Oct 1, 2003
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Holy cow, at least look before posting. This has been posted several times. And there is no proof any of it is even true.
 

clarkey01

Diamond Member
Feb 4, 2004
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Originally posted by: Ackmed
Holy cow, at least look before posting. This has been posted several times. And there is no proof any of it is even true.

No smoke without fire.
 

McArra

Diamond Member
May 21, 2003
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Originally posted by: Ackmed
Holy cow, at least look before posting. This has been posted several times. And there is no proof any of it is even true.


How can you be so rude??
 

Ackmed

Diamond Member
Oct 1, 2003
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Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.

 

bunnyfubbles

Lifer
Sep 3, 2001
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Originally posted by: McArra
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Holy cow, at least look before posting. This has been posted several times. And there is no proof any of it is even true.


How can you be so rude??

How can you be so rude??

:p

He's right about it being posted already.
 

gsellis

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 2003
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Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
Originally posted by: McArra
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Holy cow, at least look before posting. This has been posted several times. And there is no proof any of it is even true.


How can you be so rude??

How can you be so rude??

:p

He's right about it being posted already.
QFT - I found nothing Ackmed said as rude.

Counterpoint - The Inquirer has it that such may be a nVidia FUD generation with direct linkage to the above article. Fuad says that the faulty information is coming from nVidia. BOTH vendors will make comments about their competition as I have seen slide decks from each filled with such crap before. Idiots (mfgrs, not posters).

Inq link on related story

 

apoppin

Lifer
Mar 9, 2000
34,890
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alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.

i do know that you make a lot of posts that are just 'comments' and you have made some pretty unsubstantiated ones toward me that you never bothered to answer . . . your 'tone' is clear.

ANYway, this partially quoted rebuttal is from today's the Inq:
We know that information comes from Nvidia as it wants this kind of FUD about its competitor component out.

We can confirm that the first R520 silicon did had some problems and that chip is re-taped out again and most of the problems are gone. We confirm that 90 nanometres is a risky process, but it seems that ATI knows what it is doing. Even if ATI decides to go for 24 pipelines, the yields will be acceptable at least according to our usually very highly reliable sources.
. . .

Even though it sounds crazy, we have a strong belief that ATI hasn't shown the real McCoy to Dell and HP as it doesn?t want Nvidia to know the details until it's too late.

ATI plans to finalise R520 details just after Nvidia releases the G70. It's a dirty trick, but this is business
[link posted above]
 

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
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Originally posted by: Ackmed
Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.

Then you should adjust it accordingly. I think we all know your tone by now.

 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
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I think they had problems a year ago with the R420, so it is no surprise a rehash of the same technology is having problems again.

You can only milk a product for so long before you need to start over.
 

Creig

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
5,170
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Originally posted by: keysplayr2003
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.

Then you should adjust it accordingly. I think we all know your tone by now.


Now THAT was rude.
 

gsellis

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 2003
6,061
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Originally posted by: keysplayr2003
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.
Then you should adjust it accordingly. I think we all know your tone by now.
:frown:
No. We will not continue this.
 

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
50
91
Originally posted by: gsellis
Originally posted by: keysplayr2003
Originally posted by: Ackmed
Nothing I said was rude. You cant know my tone over the internet.
Then you should adjust it accordingly. I think we all know your tone by now.
:frown:
No. We will not continue this.

Sorry dude, please continue.

 

Creig

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
5,170
13
81
It does get aggravating when people refer to their information as coming from "highly reliable sources". I'll consider it "highly reliable" when multiple independent reviewers come to the same conclusion. Until then, it's simply rumor.
 

Insomniak

Banned
Sep 11, 2003
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Originally posted by: apoppin
Originally posted by: Insomniak
Would people please stop quoting the Inq like they're worth a damn?

Would people stop dissing the inq like they were worthless?

[they're not]



They're not worthless, but they do not equal the value of a damn either.

I consider them largely entertainment.
 

VIAN

Diamond Member
Aug 22, 2003
6,575
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Goddammit, WTH does QFT mean?

Same exact things were being posted about the 6800, it had some initial yield problems and was delayed but was fine after some time.
Well look at that, some GOOD NEWS. :)
 

Pete

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
4,953
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QFT = Quoted For Truth

clarkey, it's not nice to quote most of Josh's article. Just provide a link and one or two quotes, or a summary. Pasting the whole article as it relates to R520 is rude. Josh obviously would like to make some money off his analysis (as does Anand and Tom and Kyle and everyone else), and you deny him ad revenue by stealing his content and posting it here.

Anyway, it's interesting how many rumors are swirling around R520, and how many people say that the current rumors are wrong (not 32 pipes). Apparently R520 is a little more unusual than, er, usual, but not as funky as R500/Xenos. Actually, it may just be like the 6800, with more ALUs per pipe and crossbarred ROPs.