Sigity,
Anyone who REALLY knows anything about college basketball knows that the Big 10 and ACC are overrated, and the SEC and Big 12 don't get their proper respect.
(From the Wall Street Journal) Since 1985, the SEC is number 1 in exceeding expectations (over where they are seeded) and the Big 10 is next to last among the big conferences.
SEC record - 122-73 (.6257) expected wins - 108 differential - +14
Big 10 record - 136-89 (.6045) expected wins - 157 differential - -21
The ACC has the best 1-2 punch of any conference year in and year out - Duke and UNC. But top to bottom, their conference also gets too much respect.
Anyone who isn't biased by conference loyalty will admit that the Big 10 is overrated. It's a very simple explanation - no conference puts out nearly so many sports journalists and sports media people as the Big 10. And these people in the sports media influence the way everyone thinks.
By the way, I think Michigan State will play Duke in the finals. But I think every other Big 10 team is rated above where they should be (including Penn State, who shouldn't even be there.)