April jobs report

[hal2kilo]

Yet inflation cooled slightly toward the end of the year, though we're far from out of the woods yet so far as that goes.

These economists do fine at diagnosing current problems, like explaining why we're experiencing inflation. However, they are bad at predicting the future. Which is why I take all future economic predictions with a huge grain of salt.

Just about as good as sport pundits. Captain Obvious rules real time!

 

[fskimospy]

Yet inflation cooled slightly toward the end of the year, though we're far from out of the woods yet so far as that goes.

These economists do fine at diagnosing current problems, like explaining why we're experiencing inflation. However, they are bad at predicting the future. Which is why I take all future economic predictions with a huge grain of salt.

If you look at the month/month inflation numbers by the end of the year inflation was only slightly above where we want it and I think that's more relevant to fed policy now.

 

[woolfe9998]

If you look at the month/month inflation numbers by the end of the year inflation was only slightly above where we want it and I think that's more relevant to fed policy now.

Yes, after spiking mid summer, it's been on a declining trend:

Monthly inflation rate U.S. 2025| Statista

In September 2025, prices had increased by three percent compared to September 2024, according to the 12-month percentage change in the consumer price index — the monthly inflation rate for goods and services in the United States.

www.statista.com

Yet we're seeing big job growth in spite of the fed's rate hikes. They're talking about another rate hike but I'm wondering if it isn't best to just let it ride as is.

 

[fskimospy]

Yes, after spiking mid summer, it's been on a declining trend:

Monthly inflation rate U.S. 2025| Statista

In September 2025, prices had increased by three percent compared to September 2024, according to the 12-month percentage change in the consumer price index — the monthly inflation rate for goods and services in the United States.

www.statista.com

Yet we're seeing big job growth in spite of the fed's rate hikes. They're talking about another rate hike but I'm wondering if it isn't best to just let it ride as is.

No, I don't mean the monthly 12 month inflation numbers, I mean the month/month numbers. Inflation in December was negative.

Here's the link to the actual FRED page. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=ZAxb

 

[Mai72]

What type of jobs are most people obtaining? I wish we could see a break down, because a strong jobs report can be misleading. Especially when employment consist mainly of minumim wage and gig work.

So yea.. People are working and are employed. But, its not good paying careers with an opportunity for growth that people are going into. Which IMO is an issue.

 

[woolfe9998]

What type of jobs are most people obtaining? I wish we could see a break down, because a strong jobs report can be misleading. Especially when employment consist mainly of minumim wage and gig work.

So yea.. People are working and are employed. But, its not good paying careers with an opportunity for growth that people are going into. Which IMO is an issue.

From my post up thread:

- Job gains were widespread, in just about every sector. Leading the way: Leisure and hospitality added 128,000 jobs as America continued to rebound from the Covid pandemic.

 

[ivwshane]

What type of jobs are most people obtaining? I wish we could see a break down, because a strong jobs report can be misleading. Especially when employment consist mainly of minumim wage and gig work.

So yea.. People are working and are employed. But, its not good paying careers with an opportunity for growth that people are going into. Which IMO is an issue.

Uh government releases this information monthly.

A-6. Employed and unemployed full- and part-time workers by sex and age, seasonally adjusted

www.bls.gov

 

[ch33zw1z]

From my post up thread:

hows tech looking?

 

[woolfe9998]

hows tech looking?

Employment showed little change over the month in other major industries, including
mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction; wholesale trade; information;
financial activities; and other services.

Employment Situation Summary - 2025 M09 Results

www.bls.gov

 

[ch33zw1z]

Employment Situation Summary - 2025 M09 Results

www.bls.gov

interesting, after all the usual q1 layoffs, Im curious what the numbers will say

 

[alien42]

Gonna necro this thread to talk about the current jobs report. The economy added 517,000 jobs from an expected 185,000. Which is remarkable. And:



This in spite of so many warnings in the media about impending recession after all the fed rate hikes.

Right now, the economy is cooking. With luck, it will continue to do so at least up through the end of 2024.

Oh, and the stock market has gone way down so far today as Wall Street worries there will be another fed rate hike due to this jobs report. Which sounds a lot like a conflict of interest between Wall Street and Main Street.

Dow and S&P 500 updates: Stock market news today

The US job market is expected to have remained strong in January, adding 185,000 jobs. That's about on par with America's average monthly job growth over the past decade, but it would represent a slowdown from the strong post-pandemic gains of the past couple years.

www.cnn.com

And yet I still frequently here people say that nobody wants to work.

 

[fskimospy]

interesting, after all the usual q1 layoffs, Im curious what the numbers will say

The numbers are seasonally adjusted so they already take that into account.

I think this is relevant though as I suspect a lot of businesses laid off fewer employees than usual, which pumped up job numbers.

 

[MomentsofSanity]

And yet I still frequently here people say that nobody wants to work.

They are usually the same geniuses though who claim the numbers are
always faked when they are strong. Or they see help wanted signs all over so clearly this anecdote means no one wants to work.

 

[ch33zw1z]

The numbers are seasonally adjusted so they already take that into account.

I think this is relevant though as I suspect a lot of businesses laid off fewer employees than usual, which pumped up job numbers.

very possible, but still tens of thousands of jobs lost.