April 13, 2036

FP

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2005
4,568
0
0
... dying in a fiery ball of Apophis.

Just heard about this on NPR. If my math is correct the impact would be equivalent to ~65 megaton bomb.

I guess the threat level of this asteroid has changed over the years but it is the only asteroid to achieve a level 4 on the Torino impact hazard scale.

Impact odds

As a comparison the odds of being dealt a royal flush in poker is 1 in 649,739.
 

BlancoNino

Diamond Member
Oct 31, 2005
5,695
0
0
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Sweet! The world will end before my 2035 taxes are due.

This is the IRS. We just read this post and are immediately working on a plan to destroy the asteroid. We are looking forward to your 2035 income taxes.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
9,922
0
76
I don't know, 30 years from now? In 25 years we'll have the data to determine whether we'll get hit for sure or not, and probably the technology to dispose of it if necessary.
 
Jun 27, 2005
19,216
1
61
Originally posted by: BlancoNino
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Sweet! The world will end before my 2035 taxes are due.

This is the IRS. We just read this post and are immediately working on a plan to destroy the asteroid. We are looking forward to your 2035 income taxes.
Well seeing as how I just single handedly saved the world (my actions initiated the sequence of events that did anyway) I would think the IRS would see fit to exclude me from any future taxation as I have preserved their entire tax base.

You are welcome.
 

bunnyfubbles

Lifer
Sep 3, 2001
12,248
3
0
Originally posted by: binister
... dying in a fiery ball of Apophis.

Just heard about this on NPR. If my math is correct the impact would be equivalent to ~65 megaton bomb.

I guess the threat level of this asteroid has changed over the years but it is the only asteroid to achieve a level 4 on the Torino impact hazard scale.

Impact odds

As a comparison the odds of being dealt a royal flush in poker is 1 in 649,739.

You didn't factor in the leaps and bounds our technology will advance in the next 30 years - which will drastically reduce the chances we'll be endagered by any NEO.
 

FP

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2005
4,568
0
0
Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
Originally posted by: binister
... dying in a fiery ball of Apophis.

Just heard about this on NPR. If my math is correct the impact would be equivalent to ~65 megaton bomb.

I guess the threat level of this asteroid has changed over the years but it is the only asteroid to achieve a level 4 on the Torino impact hazard scale.

Impact odds

As a comparison the odds of being dealt a royal flush in poker is 1 in 649,739.

You didn't factor in the leaps and bounds our technology will advance in the next 30 years - which will drastically reduce the chances we'll be endagered by any NEO.

Like landing on it. Drilling a hole in it. And dropping a nuclear warhead into it?

Or are you speaking of sharks with friggin' laser attached to their heads? :D
 

bunnyfubbles

Lifer
Sep 3, 2001
12,248
3
0
Originally posted by: binister
Like landing on it. Drilling a hole in it. And dropping a nuclear warhead into it?

Or are you speaking of sharks with friggin' laser attached to their heads? :D

Well with all the work NASA has been doing (already "landing" probes onto such objects), by the time we're in any potential danger, we'll have several options of correcting it unless we have to deal with unforeseen problems such as snakes on a spaceship.


In all seriousness though, I believe we?d have more trouble dealing with a VEI-8 volcano than any NEO by the time either present themselves as a potential threat.
 

fbrdphreak

Lifer
Apr 17, 2004
17,555
1
0
Originally posted by: BlancoNino
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Sweet! The world will end before my 2035 taxes are due.

This is the IRS. We just read this post and are immediately working on a plan to destroy the asteroid. We are looking forward to your 2035 income taxes.
:laugh:
 

Atheus

Diamond Member
Jun 7, 2005
7,313
2
0
Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
You didn't factor in the leaps and bounds our technology will advance in the next 30 years - which will drastically reduce the chances we'll be endagered by any NEO.

In 30 years we won't have crap we don't have now. Except extrememly fast computers and advanced cloning/GE... those won't help.

 

pontifex

Lifer
Dec 5, 2000
43,804
46
91
Originally posted by: BlancoNino
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Sweet! The world will end before my 2035 taxes are due.

This is the IRS. We just read this post and are immediately working on a plan to either increase tax rates or increase the number of times your taxes are due by 2036. We look forward to relieving you of all your money even though it will be useless to us when the asteroid destroys the planet, but at least we got it. Ha ha.

Fixed
 

Gibsons

Lifer
Aug 14, 2001
12,530
35
91
Originally posted by: binister
... dying in a fiery ball of Apophis.

Just heard about this on NPR. If my math is correct the impact would be equivalent to ~65 megaton bomb.

I guess the threat level of this asteroid has changed over the years but it is the only asteroid to achieve a level 4 on the Torino impact hazard scale.

Impact odds

As a comparison the odds of being dealt a royal flush in poker is 1 in 649,739.

65 megatons isn't that big. Unless you're near it of course.
 

Fritzo

Lifer
Jan 3, 2001
41,920
2,162
126
Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
Originally posted by: binister
Like landing on it. Drilling a hole in it. And dropping a nuclear warhead into it?

Or are you speaking of sharks with friggin' laser attached to their heads? :D

Well with all the work NASA has been doing (already "landing" probes onto such objects), by the time we're in any potential danger, we'll have several options of correcting it unless we have to deal with unforeseen problems such as snakes on a spaceship.


In all seriousness though, I believe we?d have more trouble dealing with a VEI-8 volcano than any NEO by the time either present themselves as a potential threat.


Yeah, like that super volcano underneath Yellowstone State Park that is like 100,000 years overdue to blow up :shocked:
 

amish

Diamond Member
Aug 20, 2004
4,295
6
81
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Sweet! The world will end before my 2035 taxes are due.

probably not, the irs actually has plans on how to collect taxes after a nuclear holocaust. so a little asteroid isn't going to stop them either.
 

loic2003

Diamond Member
Sep 14, 2003
3,844
0
0
Originally posted by: Eeezee
I don't know, 30 years from now? In 25 years we'll have the data to determine whether we'll get hit for sure or not, and probably the technology to dispose of it if necessary.

BS. "Hey, we'll use technology to fix this impossible problem!" just doesn't work. Look at today's space missions vs those thirty years ago. Are they all that different? Not really.... things are smaller and lighter, but we're hardly going for day trips to the moon on the weekend.

It's still anything but routine landing something on mars with it's relatively uniform surface...
 

MiniDoom

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2004
5,305
0
76
Cool, I should be just getting ready for retirement and since social security is in the crapper, bring it on.:thumbsup:
 

PingSpike

Lifer
Feb 25, 2004
21,766
615
126
Originally posted by: bunnyfubbles
Originally posted by: binister
... dying in a fiery ball of Apophis.

Just heard about this on NPR. If my math is correct the impact would be equivalent to ~65 megaton bomb.

I guess the threat level of this asteroid has changed over the years but it is the only asteroid to achieve a level 4 on the Torino impact hazard scale.

Impact odds

As a comparison the odds of being dealt a royal flush in poker is 1 in 649,739.

You didn't factor in the leaps and bounds our technology will advance in the next 30 years - which will drastically reduce the chances we'll be endagered by any NEO.

I don't envision that many advances in the field of space travel in the next 30 years honestly. We haven't really done sh|t since the cold war ended, and we'll continue to not do sh|t.
 

crownjules

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2005
4,858
0
76
Originally posted by: loic2003
Originally posted by: Eeezee
I don't know, 30 years from now? In 25 years we'll have the data to determine whether we'll get hit for sure or not, and probably the technology to dispose of it if necessary.

BS. "Hey, we'll use technology to fix this impossible problem!" just doesn't work. Look at today's space missions vs those thirty years ago. Are they all that different? Not really.... things are smaller and lighter, but we're hardly going for day trips to the moon on the weekend.

It's still anything but routine landing something on mars with it's relatively uniform surface...

Thirty years ago, NASA was being heavily funded by the government. Their biggest budget year, in terms of relative value, was 1966 where they were given the modern day equivalent of over 25 billion dollars. The government wanted to beat the Soviets to the moon so they pulled out all the stops to do so. Nowdays, NASA gets about half that value because they don't view space as much of a concern anymore. The USA is the world's only space power, right? But China's started to show some space initiative and might kick start another space race.