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Sounds about right. BTW, this was from August:
Foxconn starts major hiring drive for 'iPhone 12' assembly lines
The recruitment drive is an annual fixture of the Apple production schedule, with Foxconn typically hiring more staff in the months before the September launch of a new iPhone model. This year's call is later than 2019, when the recruitment drive commenced in July.
However, the chips would have to come out a bit before that of course.
Really? I had thought it was considerably less than 3 months.
EDIT:
I just looked it up. 6-8 weeks for simpler processes, but 3 months is about right for 7 nm.
the point others are making is not that the switch to ARM will make people jump on the Mac bandwagon, it’s that it could result in having a significantly better product, therefore more people buy Macs as a result.If someone buys a Macbook because it works well in Apple ecosystem or because it runs iPad apps (or something very similar) - he probably already own a Macbook.
I can't imagine anyone buy a Macbook over a Windows laptop or vice versa with security being a key factor. These systems are too different.
That was the point of my argument. We know for sure that some people will pass the next Macbook because their life on x86 will be much easier.
But it's really hard to point a scenario where someone would buy his first Macbook BECAUSE it moved to ARM.
So the outflow will dominate. That's it.
Again: that was not the argument.
You're talking about potential advantages of ARM over x86 (or Apple over Windows+Intel/AMD).
But most of the people you describe probably already have a Macbook.
Exactly.
Why would you not have a Macbook today if you can afford the price, like Apple's ecosystem and can live with software already is available on the platform?the point others are making is not that the switch to ARM will make people jump on the Mac bandwagon, it’s that it could result in having a significantly better product, therefore more people buy Macs as a result.
for example, if a Mac runs all the applications you need twice as fast with longer battery life compared to other computers in the same price range, why would you opt for something else?
If someone buys a Macbook because it works well in Apple ecosystem or because it runs iPad apps (or something very similar) - he probably already own a Macbook.
I can't imagine anyone buy a Macbook over a Windows laptop or vice versa with security being a key factor. These systems are too different.
That was the point of my argument. We know for sure that some people will pass the next Macbook because their life on x86 will be much easier.
But it's really hard to point a scenario where someone would buy his first Macbook BECAUSE it moved to ARM.
So the outflow will dominate. That's it.
Again: that was not the argument.
You're talking about potential advantages of ARM over x86 (or Apple over Windows+Intel/AMD).
But most of the people you describe probably already have a Macbook.
Exactly.
Why would you not have a Macbook today if you can afford the price, like Apple's ecosystem and can live with software already is available on the platform?
Apart from the iPhone/iPad apps (which you could already run on your iPhone/iPad), software available on ARM Macs will be a subset of software available on x86 apps.
FWIW, I know a couple of people who are waiting for a Arm, just because... well... Arm. There is actually some logic to this. While Apple has said they will continue to support Intel for quite some time, they also said that for PowerPC, and those PowerPC machines became worthless pretty quick.Why would you not have a Macbook today if you can afford the price, like Apple's ecosystem and can live with software already is available on the platform?
Apart from the iPhone/iPad apps (which you could already run on your iPhone/iPad), software available on ARM Macs will be a subset of software available on x86 apps.
And the don't own a Macbook right now? Why?FWIW, I know a couple of people who are waiting for a Arm, just because... well... Arm.
Again: I've specifically mentioned developers and scientists. This is a group that buys a lot of MacBooks Pro and which will be limited by factors other than just how much of modern software is available on ARM (or runs via Rosetta).BTW, in terms of software: The only thing that concerns me is MS Office. My legal copy is 2016 and I'm not paying a subscription. I'm sure Office will be available on Arm Macs pretty quickly, but I'm afraid they will force me to go a subscription model. Mind you, it could probably run well with Rosetta, and with my current job, I have less need for Office anyway.
You know... sometimes I think you don't understand my arguments at all. And sometimes that you're Tim Cook in disguise.Because the price will NOT stay the same...
Everything is moving to cloud. Whatever is missing, there will be option to access it via web browser - CAx (Onshape, SimScale...), science (MathWorks Cloud, Google Cloud...), gaming (Stadia, xCloud...), office (MS Office Online, Collabora...). The only problem users might face is, all of these services are optimized for Chrome But some might have simple desktop applications that can probably easily be ported to new architecture (e.g. Fusion 360).
Like it or not, ARM devices will take significant PC marketshare in following years. Not because they are better (they are usually not), but because Apple and Google wants that, and have resources (money) to make that happen
for example, if a Mac runs all the applications you need twice as fast with longer battery life compared to other computers in the same price range, why would you opt for something else?
And the don't own a Macbook right now? Why?
Again: I've specifically mentioned developers and scientists. This is a group that buys a lot of MacBooks Pro and which will be limited by factors other than just how much of modern software is available on ARM (or runs via Rosetta).
Because they use a lot of legacy programs written for x86. And because they develop for x86, so it's easier on x86.
I'm also fairly worried about modern software.
Some companies see Mac owners as core client group, so I'm absolutely sure stuff from Adobe or Microsoft will be available more or less instantly.
I'm not so sure about engineering/science software - say, Matlab. Matlab is so deeply optimized for x86, it only works on Macs because of hardware similarities (and there are still some issues not existing on Windows or Linux - meaning it's more a port than an actual solid implementation).
You know... sometimes I think you don't understand my arguments at all. And sometimes that you're Tim Cook in disguise.
If your only stance in this topic is to praise Apple, because you think I'm against them in whatever way, you're just wasting time.
Actually, it's not just Arm. It's also because they're expecting form factor changes. For example, I have a 2010 iMac and a 2017 iMac, and from the front they look EXACTLY the same. Actually, it works out for me, since I'm using the 2010 as a matching external monitor for the 2017. And the 2020 iMacs also look exactly the same from the front. Some people are just bored of the form factor and want something new. I know that may seem odd to people who hang out in the CPU forum here, but it's actually how some mainstream users think.
Absolutely. My whole work is happening in the cloud. I could work on a Chromebook. In fact, if I was given the choice, I probably would ask for an ARM laptop next time (but it would have to be Windows or MacOS).Everything is moving to cloud. Whatever is missing, there will be option to access it via web browser - CAx (Onshape, SimScale...), science (MathWorks Cloud, Google Cloud...), gaming (Stadia, xCloud...), office (MS Office Online, Collabora...). The only problem users might face is, all of these services are optimized for Chrome But some might have simple desktop applications that can probably easily be ported to new architecture (e.g. Fusion 360).
Like it or not, ARM devices will take significant PC marketshare in following years. Not because they are better (they are usually not), but because Apple and Google wants that, and have resources (money) to make that happen
The iMac has a ginormous chin and huge bezels. People have been commenting about those for years. They have been the same size for literally over a decade. Yes bezel and chin size reduction is a form factor change.How are they going to change the form factor of the iMac, when it by definition looks exactly like a monitor? That's the one model you can say for sure won't change (unless you consider having smaller bezels to be a "form factor change")
The other desktop models might change though. The Mac Mini could become the size of a deck of cards if they want, and who what happens with the Mac Pro - maybe the next one is a tall pyramid like the Transamerica tower lol
Own a Mac but over 5 years old or else a different model. ie. Overdue for an upgrade but waiting for Arm or else someone with a desktop looking to add a laptop.And the don't own a Macbook right now? Why?
I can't find these A14 Geekbench 5 scores on Geekbench's website, but nonetheless they've been published at CPU Monkey. Maybe it's because the Chinese YouTubers already have the iPad Air 4 available for review.
Apple A14 Bionic Benchmark, Test and specs
Apple A14 Bionic benchmark results and review of this cpu with specs including the number of cores, threads, memory bandwidth, pcie lanes and power consumption. Benchmarks in Cinebench R23 and Geekbench 5www.cpu-monkey.com
1658 single-core
4068 multi-core
2.45X multiplier
Contrast that to A13:
iPhone 11 Pro - Geekbench
Benchmark results for an iPhone 11 Pro with an Apple A13 Bionic processor.browser.geekbench.com
I think they may have filler info there. For example they list 16 GB max memory. Did they get that from the A12Z dev box? It’d be better if they just left those things blank.I'd love to believe those numbers, but there are some oddities. For example, it lists 2 Icestorm cores and 4 Firestorm cores. Those are the code names from the Bloomberg report regarding the 8x4 Mac chip, but with the names applied to the wrong cores. Could be a mistake on cpu monkey, but it smells a bit funny. In fact there's a lot of specific info listed in there that seems unlikely for them to have already teased out, but who knows?
I can't find these A14 Geekbench 5 scores on Geekbench's website, but nonetheless they've been published at CPU Monkey. Maybe it's because the Chinese YouTubers already have the iPad Air 4 available for review.
Apple A14 Bionic Benchmark, Test and specs
Apple A14 Bionic benchmark results and review of this cpu with specs including the number of cores, threads, memory bandwidth, pcie lanes and power consumption. Benchmarks in Cinebench R23 and Geekbench 5www.cpu-monkey.com
1658 single-core
4068 multi-core
2.45X multiplier
Contrast that to A13:
iPhone 11 Pro - Geekbench
Benchmark results for an iPhone 11 Pro with an Apple A13 Bionic processor.browser.geekbench.com
1337 single-core
3507 multi-core
2.62X multiplier
If these A14 numbers are legit, that means that A14 is 24% faster single-core and 16% faster multi-core as compared to A13.
As for A12:
iPad mini (5th generation) - Geekbench
Benchmark results for an iPad mini (5th generation) with an Apple A12 Bionic processor.browser.geekbench.com
1117 single-core
2721 multi-core
2.44X multiplier
That means A14 is 48% and 49% faster A12 for single-core and multi-core respectively.
Personally I look at 'leaked' numbers as amusement, not to be taken seriously. I am patient, and willing to wait for reputable sites actually testing real in the wild products.Every year we get these supposed Geekbench numbers (multiple different versions) and every year most of them turn out to be fakes.
The numbers you are quoting
(a) turned up around March, which seems awfully early...
(b) you will notice they ONLY give the summary numbers. My take is that if a leaker isn't willing to give the *entire* set of numbers (so that one can examine patterns, and thereby ascertain plausibility) it's a waste of time even considering the numbers -- by far the most plausible hypothesis is that they were made up by someone seeking attention.
Oh these are the same March ones? Hmm...Every year we get these supposed Geekbench numbers (multiple different versions) and every year most of them turn out to be fakes.
The numbers you are quoting
(a) turned up around March, which seems awfully early...
(b) you will notice they ONLY give the summary numbers. My take is that if a leaker isn't willing to give the *entire* set of numbers (so that one can examine patterns, and thereby ascertain plausibility) it's a waste of time even considering the numbers -- by far the most plausible hypothesis is that they were made up by someone seeking attention.
Well, the YouTubers have published (p)reviews already (albeit in Chinese). In this video you can see Touch ID integrated into the power button being tested:Personally I look at 'leaked' numbers as amusement, not to be taken seriously. I am patient, and willing to wait for reputable sites actually testing real in the wild products.
So I looked this up. These numbers aren't quite the same as the March leak.Every year we get these supposed Geekbench numbers (multiple different versions) and every year most of them turn out to be fakes.
The numbers you are quoting
(a) turned up around March, which seems awfully early...
(b) you will notice they ONLY give the summary numbers. My take is that if a leaker isn't willing to give the *entire* set of numbers (so that one can examine patterns, and thereby ascertain plausibility) it's a waste of time even considering the numbers -- by far the most plausible hypothesis is that they were made up by someone seeking attention.
Even hypothetical CPUs based off last year's A13 core could make for a really fast Mac chip, considering that it's already scoring 1340 single-core.If those A14 numbers are correct, then the 16% CPU performance gain reverse engineered from the 40% A12->A14 gain was for multithread.
If the clock rate is 3.1 GHz that gives them a 16% increase all by itself, so the remaining 8% would be IPC improvement.
If true, and we know the A14s going into Macs will be even faster, there's no way Intel's (or AMD's) fastest will be able to keep up.
So I looked this up. These numbers aren't quite the same as the March leak.
The single-core is the same at 1658, but the March leak has 4612 as the multi-core score, whereas it's 4068 for the CPU Monkey multi-core score.
That said, as I mentioned before, the number I had a harder time believing was actually the single-core score, as it seems a tad too high.
Even hypothetical CPUs based off last year's A13 core could make for a really fast Mac chip, considering that it's already scoring 1340 single-core.
So they would not be moving to Apple because ARM, but merely upgrading from an older system - so not the case we're looking for.Own a Mac but over 5 years old or else a different model. ie. Overdue for an upgrade but waiting for Arm or else someone with a desktop looking to add a laptop.