Originally posted by: TemjinGold
Personally, I feel by the time more than 4 cores makes a difference, you'll probably want a new mobo anyways...
This again...
On a theoritical level:
Already in Q3 2009 (now) the Intel Core i7 870 is 2.93GHz and goes at 3.60GHz with Single Core Turbo mode.
How far can Intel go (i am speaking GHz) with the
32nm 4 core/8 thread version?
Intel is nearly doubling the performance per 2 years time (i am talking per price point / for the most mainstream price points comparing launches)
Q3 2006 183$ 6300 (2MB ver instead of Q2 2007 4MB ver 6320)
Q3 2008 183$ 8500
8500 is nearly 1,9X the speed of 6300 in 2 years gap
Q3 2008 193$ 8200 (4MB version instead of 6MB 9X00 or 12MB 9X50 versions)
Q3 2009 196$ i5 750
i5 750 is nearly 1,4X the speed of 8200 in one year gap
Q1 2008 53$ E2100
Q3 2009 53$ E3300
E3300 is nearly 1,7X the speed of 2100 in 1,5 year gap
So how is it possible for Intel to deliver in let's say 1,5 year from now (Q1 2011) a 1,7X quad core Nehalem? (or double the perf. in Q3 2011 with a quad core design?)
About the mem limitations:
Intel next year Q3 2010 is going to have probably 1600 DDR3 and in Q3 2011 probably 2133 DDR4 (or 2133 DDR3 if Intel goes AMD philosophy or if DDR4 has an implementation problem for Q3 2011)
The memory bandwidth jump for me is enough for the move to 6 cores.
According to my perception Intel will have a 6 core 1156 version CPU in
Q3 2011 or earlier... (Q3 2010 1156 32nm quad versions with lower power consumption and a little better performance per MHz + higher clock speeds and in Q3 2011 1156 6 core ver and in Q4 2012 1156 8 core ver, all these at the latest...)
I hope Intel still has some aces left, but with Core 2 architecture and the memory controller Intergration i don't know if Intel can do big performance jumps per "Tock".