Any idea how much SSD prices will go down to in 2nd Half 2010?

unseengundam101

Senior member
Oct 26, 2005
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I have been following SSD prices a lot and looks there a few developments that mayl bring the price down a lot in 2010. The Kingston 40 GB ssd is a good start in bringing lower priced SSD. Seem like those 1 TB OCZ 3.5" SSD could force the prices down even more. If other SSD companies follow OCZ with 3.5" HDs, I could see price being forced down through competition. I am guessing price per GB might drop by half if not more in late 2010.

What do you guys think? Am I am being too optimistic?
 

semo

Senior member
Dec 24, 2004
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yes you are too optimistic
Seem like those 1 TB OCZ 3.5" SSD could force the prices down even more.
no they won't. they are too expensive and slow.

samsung are due to introduce their 3x mm flash chips sometime next year after a long delay. the global shortage of pc components isn't helping matters either. ssd makers are on a gravy train and are not getting off anytime soon. not unless we see massive over supply and an unexpected drop in demand in the next couple of months
 

Ayah

Platinum Member
Jan 1, 2006
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The 1TB OCZ drive costs 3400$. I don't think anyone else is really holding their breath.

The kingston 40GB rebranded intel is actually just half of an intel SSD. The controller in it has 10 channels but in the 40GB drive, there are only chips on 5 of those channels.
 

rcpratt

Lifer
Jul 2, 2009
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And besides pricing are there any news on Sata 6G SSDs? That's why I haven't yet picked up an Intel G2.
I don't know why that would stop you. Getting past the 3Gbps barrier isn't going to make SSDs that much better.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
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I don't know why that would stop you. Getting past the 3Gbps barrier isn't going to make SSDs that much better.

Exactly, and even if you needed the bandwidth now you simply need raid-0 a couple SSD drives and you are there.
 

Majic 7

Senior member
Mar 27, 2008
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There is a link to a DigiTimes blurb in TechReports Thanksgiving Shortbread. It talks about 20nm chips forcing prices down but that won't be until the second half of 2011.
 

Hacp

Lifer
Jun 8, 2005
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By the 2nd half, samsung might have fixed its 3bit 32nm chip problems. That is the major development that will bring prices down.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
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By the 2nd half, samsung might have fixed its 3bit 32nm chip problems. That is the major development that will bring prices down.

I'm not aware of any flash producer intending to put 3x MLC flash into consumer SSDs. The cells are simply not robust enough (by orders of magnitude) to handle the read/writes.

Traditional 2x MLC sports >10,000 read/write endurance whereas at best the plans are to make 3x MLC parts capable of delivering 1,000 read/write endurance.

The things you have to do to the 3x MLC device (design, layout, materials, etc) to increase the endurance all involve making the chips larger in area, so much so that by the time you get a 3x MLC chip with 10,000 endurance the bits/mm^2 are comparable to that of a 2x MLC chip anyways so you may as well have just made more smaller 2x MLC chips instead. (the same is true if you want SLC endurance out of an MLC device, you have to make the cells so much larger that in the end you saved nothing by making it an MLC device to begin with)

There is no free lunch, multi-level cell technology is a cost-savings strategy that intrinsically relies on being able to trade-off write endurance (and speed) for increasing bit density.