Android and Apple take more marketshare -- comscore

[zoiks]

Android surges ahead with 5.2% jump while Apple iOS gets 1.3%. Microsoft declines.

http://reviews.cnet.com/8301-19736_7-20068677-251.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

 

[Tom]

the blackberry decline is the story, not MS.

 

[zoiks]

the blackberry decline is the story, not MS.

MS declines nevertheless. I find that to be a big deal.

 

[tatteredpotato]

MS declines nevertheless. I find that to be a big deal.

These numbers are all typical of the last several quarters, no huge surprises.

 

[Muyoso]

So Android's growth seems to be slowing down slightly. Will we see Android take 50% of the market by the end of the year?

Edit: I am looking at the numbers from the last comscore report, and its very interesting. Android's last 3 month change was 7.7 points vs Apple's .1. This 3 month change for Android was 5.2 vs Apple's 1.3. So obviously the Verizon iPhone did eat into Android's sales at least a little bit and boosted Apple's marketshare a fair amount.

 

[the DRIZZLE]

So Android's growth seems to be slowing down slightly. Will we see Android take 50% of the market by the end of the year?

Edit: I am looking at the numbers from the last comscore report, and its very interesting. Android's last 3 month change was 7.7 points vs Apple's .1. This 3 month change for Android was 5.2 vs Apple's 1.3. So obviously the Verizon iPhone did eat into Android's sales at least a little bit and boosted Apple's marketshare a fair amount.

I don't think we'll see Android get to 50% anytime soon. I expect that once RIM gets down to about 20% market share the market will stabilize a bit. Android and Apple will continue to pick off RIM customers, but at a much slower rate.

 

[tonygeor]

I don't think we'll see Android get to 50% anytime soon. I expect that once RIM gets down to about 20% market share the market will stabilize a bit. Android and Apple will continue to pick off RIM customers, but at a much slower rate.

I would bet more like 10-15%

 

[Qbah]

So based on the article and some older ones from the same guy:

Apr 2011
Google 27.2M (36.4%, +9.1M smartphone owners vs Dec2010)
Apple 19.4M (26.0%, +3.6M smartphone owners)
RIM 19.2M (25.7%, -0.8M smartphone owners)
MS 5.0M (6.7%, -0.3M smartphone owners)
Total 74.6M (+11.4M smartphone owners)

Dec 2010
Google 18.1M (28.7%, +7.2M smartphone owners vs Aug2010)
Apple 15.8M (25.0%, +2.3M smartphone owners)
RIM 20.0M (31.6%, -1.0M smartphone owners)
MS 5.3M (8.4%, -0.7M smartphone owners)
Total 63.2M (+7.5M smartphone owners)

Aug 2010
Google 10.9M (19.6%, +1.8M smartphone owners vs Jul2010)
Apple 13.5M (24.2%, +0.8M smartphone owners)
RIM 21.0M (37.6%, +0.0M smartphone owners)
MS 6.0M (10.8%, -0.3M smartphone owners)
Total 55.7M (+2.2M smartphone owners)

Jul 2010
Google 9.1M (17.0%, +2.7M smartphone owners vs May2010)
Apple 12.7M (23.8%, +0.7M smartphone owners)
RIM 21.0M (39.3%, +0.5M smartphone owners)
MS 6.3M (11.8%, -0.2M smartphone owners)
Total 53.5M (+4.4M smartphone owners)

May 2010
Google 6.4M (13.0%)
Apple 12.0M (24.4%)
RIM 20.5M (41.7%)
MS 6.5M (13.2%)
Total 49.1M

Most of the recent smartphone market growth is thanks to Google (Apr2011 total growth 11.4M, Google alone 9.1M... Dec2010 total growth 7.5M, Google alone 7.2M).

Roughly a quarter of the market is owned by Apple (hardly any changes since May 2010 share-wise, 7.4M more iPhone owners).

Sick increase by Google - share-wise from 13% to 36.4%, 20.8M more Android phones on the market since May 2010 (vs 25.5M total smartphone increase!!).

So people not only move away from RIM (-1.3M) / MS (-1.5M), a lot of them join the smartphone family.

I think Google will own half of the market. Apple a quarter and the rest will share the remaining quarter. At least in the near future

 

[Muyoso]

Looking at those numbers, I wouldn't be surprised in the least if Android settled in around 50% of the smartphone marketshare by Christmas this year. I personally don't think that 50% is the highest Android will go though, unless Apple makes some radical moves. I don't think Apple will do this though because they don't care about marketshare really, they care about profit, which they are doing ridiculously well with. Google cares about marketshare because the more phones using Android the more phones using Google search and looking at Admob ads.

 

[Tom]

Android, the McDonalds of smartphones.

 

[notposting]

Hmm...I do plan on leaving Android for MS this year though...

 

[Mopetar]

Will be interesting to see how well HP does with WebOS and what effect Nokia using Windows Phone 7 will have on the market share. Microsoft might be able to stop bleeding market share and HP might make small gains. If anyone is going to keep dropping, it will probably be RIM.

 

[WelshBloke]

the blackberry decline is the story, not MS.

I'm on my phone at the moment so haven't read the link in the OP.

Itll be pretty ugly for MS if they are doing worse with Windows phone 7 compared to Windows mobile.

 

[Mopetar]

I'm on my phone at the moment so haven't read the link in the OP.

Itll be pretty ugly for MS if they are doing worse with Windows phone 7 compared to Windows mobile.

I forget which site had the story, but someone did some math and figured out that Microsoft was likely making 5 times as much from Android sales (Because HTC pays them a license fee for using MS patents) than they made from WP7. Regardless of how well or poorly they do with their own product, if they can get money out of the other manufacturers, they win either way.

 

[WelshBloke]

I forget which site had the story, but someone did some math and figured out that Microsoft was likely making 5 times as much from Android sales (Because HTC pays them a license fee for using MS patents) than they made from WP7. Regardless of how well or poorly they do with their own product, if they can get money out of the other manufacturers, they win either way.

Don't get me wrong, I don't think any of this will give MS any financial problems.

I meant that for winpho to work they need to get a significant slice of the market. They can't just bump along below 10%. It doesn't matter how good the OS is (and all the user reports here seem to be positive) if it dosnt get some traction soon its going to be tough for them to remain in that market.

 

[Tom]

I'm on my phone at the moment so haven't read the link in the OP.

Itll be pretty ugly for MS if they are doing worse with Windows phone 7 compared to Windows mobile.

Yea, if MS can't sell phones ther out of business, while RIM can rely on sales of their pc operating systems, software, and game console to stay afloat.

yes, the stroy is all about MS, RIM will be fine if they can't sell blackberries.

 

[WelshBloke]

Yea, if MS can't sell phones ther out of business, while RIM can rely on sales of their pc operating systems, software, and game console to stay afloat.

yes, the stroy is all about MS, RIM will be fine if they can't sell blackberries.

MS have just relaunched their mobile OS and the new one seems to be doing worse than the old one in the market (which was pretty dead in the water mindsharewise).

They are below 7% and falling.

I cant see how you can see this as not being a problem for them.

Yeah it doesn't affect their desktop OS or console sales but thats not what this forum or thread is about.

 

[hanoverphist]

i think MS will pick up after mango, if they can find some way to actually push their product. not sure about other cities, but there are very few commercials and billboards for the new winpho7 phones. also, most people i know still think it will be a geek phone like the old winmo6 was. hard interface, tons of power.

 

[dpodblood]

WP7 hopefully will pick up and gain some more market share in the future. We have to remember that it is much newer than Android and iOS. It's a solid platform, but the app market just isn't as mature as iOS or Android.

 

[WelshBloke]

i think MS will pick up after mango, if they can find some way to actually push their product. not sure about other cities, but there are very few commercials and billboards for the new winpho7 phones. also, most people i know still think it will be a geek phone like the old winmo6 was. hard interface, tons of power.

Dont dis WinMo

I'm sure MS would be more than happy to have that market share again.