- Jul 22, 2002
- 4,677
- 15
- 81
Magnitude: Right now the USGS has put this quake at an 8.0 - Expect this to change as more data comes to hand.
Depth: Current data suggests a shallow quake at 10km - This data is subject to change.
Intensity of Shaking: USGS pager has put this quake at Mercalli Intensity level VII (7 - Very Strong). The 'Did you feel it' part of the website has people reporting it at a 6 which is strong shaking.
Expected Damages: The USGS has put up the initial pager information which is subject to change. Damage probabilities are as follows; 65% for damages to be under $1m, 30% for damages to be between $1-10m, 4% for damages to be between $10-100m. The final percent is scattered over the other categories, all values in USD.
Expected Deaths: The fatality probabilities are as follows; 50% for no deaths, 32% for 1-10 fatalities, 15% for 10-100 fatalities and 3% for 100-1000 fatalities. The odds are good but these are subject to change.
Tsunami: Local Tsunami warning[1] issued for Ecuador, Chile and Peru. Tsunami watch in place for Colombia, Panama and Costa Rica.
Aftershock pattern: This quake was preceded by hundreds of smaller quakes which is unusual due to no trigger event. The expected pattern is that of many smaller quakes and some larger (6.0's/7.0s) to follow over the next few months.
Depth: Current data suggests a shallow quake at 10km - This data is subject to change.
Intensity of Shaking: USGS pager has put this quake at Mercalli Intensity level VII (7 - Very Strong). The 'Did you feel it' part of the website has people reporting it at a 6 which is strong shaking.
Expected Damages: The USGS has put up the initial pager information which is subject to change. Damage probabilities are as follows; 65% for damages to be under $1m, 30% for damages to be between $1-10m, 4% for damages to be between $10-100m. The final percent is scattered over the other categories, all values in USD.
Expected Deaths: The fatality probabilities are as follows; 50% for no deaths, 32% for 1-10 fatalities, 15% for 10-100 fatalities and 3% for 100-1000 fatalities. The odds are good but these are subject to change.
Tsunami: Local Tsunami warning[1] issued for Ecuador, Chile and Peru. Tsunami watch in place for Colombia, Panama and Costa Rica.
Aftershock pattern: This quake was preceded by hundreds of smaller quakes which is unusual due to no trigger event. The expected pattern is that of many smaller quakes and some larger (6.0's/7.0s) to follow over the next few months.
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