AMD likely to convert K7 (Palomino, T-bred, etc.) to Duron status...

MadRat

Lifer
Oct 14, 1999
11,999
307
126
Looking at AMD's timeline I noticed that there are some discrepancies. The logical progression of the K7 family to the SOI process is a wee bit based on the bottom feeding principle. The reliance on a business plan that basically scoops up the market that Intel cannot feed is not very stable. The IT market is nutured for years to come, with wholesale replacement of equipment unlikely in the near future for most large businesses. I really hope AMD isn't locked into these plans, not only for their sake but also for the rest of us. I kind of like the idea of cheap PC parts. ;)

<<Q2 2002:
- Duron Desktop *Undecided* through 2003
- Athlon 4 1900+ Mobile (.13-micron non-SOI)
- Athlon XP 2200+ Desktop (.13-micron non-SOI)
>>

T-bred likely to be the official replacement for the Duron family by Q3 2002, meaning they can drop the more expensive ceramic packaging altogether. If Duron continues it will likely be shortlived and merely reach 1.4GHz and 100fsb, the last stepping used in the Thunderbird/100 family. Better to drop Duron altogether and make Palomino the low-end spectrum of processors. No need to cripple Palominoes with either 100fsb or 64k L2 cache since the current Duron is already at 1.3GHz. Palominoes cover from 1.33GHz to 1.67GHz and would be the natural progression.

<<Q3 2002:
- Athlon 4 2000+ Mobile (.13-micron SOI)
- Athlon XP 2400+ Desktop (.13-micron non-SOI)
>>

Mobile T-bred to be quickly killed off for the Mobile Barton core. I feel that the Barton core will be introduced to the Desktop market during this period, too, but not in sufficient numbers to retire the Tbred line. AMD doesn't really mention the Barton core in anything except for the Mobile market until Q4 2002, which by then is well too late for competing with the Pentium 4 2.53GHz/533fsb.

<<Q4 2002:
- Athlon 4 2200+ Mobile (.13-micron SOI)
- Athlon XP 2800+ Desktop (.13-micron SOI)
- ClawHammer 3400+ Desktop (.13-micron SOI)
>>

Barton appears on the timeline and replaces the Thoroughbred in the low-end consumer spectrum. This doesn't really make much sense unless the Hammer is the flagship processor in the sub-$200 consumer market. If this is the case then why all the trouble to release Barton? Also note that by this point all of AMD's processors will have switched to the SIO process.

<<1H 2003:
- Athlon 4 2400+ Mobile (.13-micron SOI)
- ClawHammer 4000+ Desktop (.13-micron SOI)
- ClawHammer DP (.13-micron SOI; 2-way SMP)
2H 2003:
- ClawHammer 3500+ Mobile (.09-micron SOI)
- ClawHammer 4400+ (.09-micron SOI)
>>

Athlon 4, using the Barton core, will quickly be phased out altogether. Presumably a new core based on xxxxHammer/x86-64 will be released for high-performance laptops by then. Hmmm, perhaps Athlon 4 could be pushed into the PDA arena just to keep it around for a few more years...
 

AGodspeed

Diamond Member
Jul 26, 2001
3,353
0
0
AMD's roadmap indicates that .13-micron SOI Athlon XP's will be available towards the end of the year. AMD has also said that UMC would be fabbing .13-micron processors towards the end of the year. In addition, AMD has stated that UMC would be fabbing only Duron processors. Based on these statements, I think it's safe to infer the following:

UMC will produce x amounts of .13-micron SOI Athlon XP's ("Durons") by the end of the year. Well what do you know, AMD also has ClawHammer scheduled for availability by the end of the year, which just happens to be perfect timing for UMC to help AMD produce large quantities of Duron processors.

IMO this is a smart move on AMD's part, since they'll be able to fab significantly more Claw and Sledge processors at Fab 30 and at the same time have UMC produce large quantities of .13-micron SOI Athlon XP's at their Taiwan fabs.

If the ClawHammer debugging and motherboard chipset support all goes well in time for a Q4 launch, then I'm betting that AMD will easily be able to produce large enough quantities of ClawHammers to satisfy demand at launch. Knowing that UMC is desperate to use up fab space, it should come as no surprise to anyone if AMD has plenty of ClawHammers at launch...