6.9 - 7.2 Earthquake in Japan

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Lifer
Jul 25, 2001
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TSUNAMI WARNING ISSUED AFTER 6.9-MAGNITUDE QUAKE HITS OCEAN EAST OF JAPAN

News is still coming in. Check CNN or Abcnews.com


CNN: U.S. Geological Survey reports a 7.2-magnitude earthquake off Japan.


Yahoo: TOKYO - A strong quake shook northern Japan early Tuesday and Japan's Meteorological Agency issued tsunami warnings.

The magnitude 6.9 quake at 6:39 a.m. was centered off the coast of Sanriku in northern Japan, the agency said.

The agency said a tsunami could reach coastlines on Japan's Pacific Coast between 7:10 a.m. and 7:30 a.m. in Iwate, Miyagi, Fukushima and Hokkaido, the agency said.

There were no immediate reports of injuries, according to national broadcaster NHK.

 

Remy XO

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Jun 29, 2005
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*waiting for someone to come in and say disasters happen all the time, look at history*
 

ElFenix

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random events seem to happen in bunches merely because your brain is the best pattern recognition device ever devised. in reality, the most likely time for a random event to happen after another random event is immediately.
 

Remy XO

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Originally posted by: ElFenix
random events seem to happen in bunches merely because your brain is the best pattern recognition device ever devised. in reality, the most likely time for a random event to happen after another random event is immediately.

So your point is that when random disasters happen, another random disaster follows immediately?
 

LikeLinus

Lifer
Jul 25, 2001
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Wow - according to that MSNBC article:

"Japan is one of the world?s most earthquake-prone countries, with a tremor occurring at least every five minutes."

Thats insane!
 

ElFenix

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Originally posted by: Remy XO
Originally posted by: ElFenix
random events seem to happen in bunches merely because your brain is the best pattern recognition device ever devised. in reality, the most likely time for a random event to happen after another random event is immediately.

So your point is that when random disasters happen, another random disaster follows immediately?

no, that the most likely time for the next disaster is immediately.

think about it this way: the average for major earthquakes may be 1 a year. but there are periods where several years pass without a major earthquake. for each year that there is no major earthquake, an additional one will most likely happen within a year of another. so, sometimes there are several major earthquakes in 1 year, but the average is still 1 per year.
 

thelanx

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Jul 3, 2000
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Originally posted by: ElFenix
Originally posted by: Remy XO
Originally posted by: ElFenix
random events seem to happen in bunches merely because your brain is the best pattern recognition device ever devised. in reality, the most likely time for a random event to happen after another random event is immediately.

So your point is that when random disasters happen, another random disaster follows immediately?

no, that the most likely time for the next disaster is immediately.

think about it this way: the average for major earthquakes may be 1 a year. but there are periods where several years pass without a major earthquake. for each year that there is no major earthquake, an additional one will most likely happen within a year of another. so, sometimes there are several major earthquakes in 1 year, but the average is still 1 per year.

If by random you mean the disasters occur independently of each other then any given moment has an equal chance of a disaster occuring.