4800 nuclear missiles... <--- edited for correct spelling

Page 2 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

slag

Lifer
Dec 14, 2000
10,473
81
101
That number is warheads, not missiles. The 2010 New START treaty will reduce that number to 1585.

The US had over 30,000 nuclear warheads in the 1960s. I'd say things are moving very much in the right direction.

Why do you say that? Have we ever had a nuclear war with 30k nuclear warheads? Seems like its a good number to have it if stops war with our enemies.
 

Carson Dyle

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2012
8,173
524
126
Why do you say that? Have we ever had a nuclear war with 30k nuclear warheads? Seems like its a good number to have it if stops war with our enemies.

You don't think 1500 is better "if it stops a war with our enemies"? How about 500? We still achieve MAD, but at an enormously reduced cost.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
19,989
7,084
136
Because MAD is the greatest securer of peace the world has ever seen. It's actually worrisome we DON'T put enough money into properly maintaining them

Maybe in cold war thinking.

Give me an example today where the enemies of US is more afraid of a nuclear retaliation than a conventional one.

Also this :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IX_d_vMKswE

Always relevant (Ukraine/Russia)
 
Last edited:

Scarpozzi

Lifer
Jun 13, 2000
26,392
1,780
126
I'd say most of those systems are actually better than anything that would be made today. They're likely all solid state....less odds of being hacked or having major issues with extra layers of complexity that aren't needed.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
73,200
34,528
136
There was a logic to it when most of the bomb materials were produced back in the 50s and 60s. The infrastructure needed to enrich uranium and extract plutonium for 100 bombs isn't much smaller/cheaper than the infrastructure needed for 30,000 bombs so the marginal cost of being batshit crazy isn't too bad.
 

manimal

Lifer
Mar 30, 2007
13,559
8
0
There was a logic to it when most of the bomb materials were produced back in the 50s and 60s. The infrastructure needed to enrich uranium and extract plutonium for 100 bombs isn't much smaller/cheaper than the infrastructure needed for 30,000 bombs so the marginal cost of being batshit crazy isn't too bad.

They also ignored the budget office and their estimates of costs over the lifetime of the products.
 

ultimatebob

Lifer
Jul 1, 2001
25,134
2,450
126
There is no godly reason to need 4800 nuclear missiles. Let's be honest it was to get the contractors and politicians rich. They had no idea that years later we'd be able to see this disgusting amount of stockpile that they were cashing in on. I mean my word think of even 500. 500 would be an insane amount. How could even 500 not be overkill. And someone how they managed 10 times more than that. o_O

I think that the idea was to ensure that we had enough remaining missiles to vaporize the entire Soviet Union even if they successfully attacked us first.

That said, I'm sure that the military contractors didn't complain about the overproduction :)
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,585
3,796
126
I think that the idea was to ensure that we had enough remaining missiles to vaporize the entire Soviet Union even if they successfully attacked us first.

That said, I'm sure that the military contractors didn't complain about the overproduction :)

This. It wasn't about having just enough it was about having enough that the Ruskies could hit most of our arsenal first we'd still have enough to paste them too
 

Thump553

Lifer
Jun 2, 2000
12,839
2,625
136
Sixty Minutes had a great episode on this a year or two back. We have 20 y.o missile technicians working on computers that are actually older than them. And the physical structure is falling apart to-I remember them showing blast doors tied or wedged open because the hinge mechanisms were broken.

You want to think of something really scary? If our nuclear missile infrastructure is in this bad a shape, what do you think Russia's is like, given that damn near everything in Russia is crap quality to begin with?
 
Mar 10, 2005
14,647
2
0
You don't think 1500 is better "if it stops a war with our enemies"? How about 500? We still achieve MAD, but at an enormously reduced cost.

500 is below the threshold for an effective deterrence, and probably would have invited attack during the cold war. keep in mind several things:

1. you're talking about a total number, but many are specialized in their use - a nuclear depth charge is no direct threat to an inland city or base.

2. the concept of killing a target with a monster 5-20 MT bomb is way out of style. it turns out to be much more effective to use several 150+ KT weapons instead, in terms of damage inflicted.

3. all these devices are spread across multiple delivery platforms, each with their own strengths and weaknesses. i doubt 500 would be enough for 1 or 2 bombs for each carrier, sub, destroyer, and land-based missile, never mind the bombers. hardly an efficient or effective use of resources.

4. even in the absence of defensive measures, less than 100% of the weapons fired will be successful. people failures, launch failures, navigation failures, and firing failures add up. then consider the enemy would try to eliminate as much of your capability as quickly as possible, and defend itself as thoroughly as possible.

the sum total of all this must be greater than what the enemy would be willing to receive, or the scheme doesn't work.

US_and_USSR_nuclear_stockpiles.svg



There was a logic to it when most of the bomb materials were produced back in the 50s and 60s. The infrastructure needed to enrich uranium and extract plutonium for 100 bombs isn't much smaller/cheaper than the infrastructure needed for 30,000 bombs so the marginal cost of being batshit crazy isn't too bad.

plutonium is created by neutron capture of depleted uranium (U238), but highly enriched uranium (90%+ U235) is sometimes used in structural components to jack up the yield with a single design.

I'd say most of those systems are actually better than anything that would be made today. They're likely all solid state....less odds of being hacked or having major issues with extra layers of complexity that aren't needed.

most of this infrastructure is made today, except for the warheads themselves. the vast majority of complexity and spending has always gone to the delivery systems and not the actual devices.
 

Artorias

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2014
2,282
1,599
136
Sixty Minutes had a great episode on this a year or two back. We have 20 y.o missile technicians working on computers that are actually older than them. And the physical structure is falling apart to-I remember them showing blast doors tied or wedged open because the hinge mechanisms were broken.

You want to think of something really scary? If our nuclear missile infrastructure is in this bad a shape, what do you think Russia's is like, given that damn near everything in Russia is crap quality to begin with?

Nah. Russian equipment is the exact opposite. There is an old Russian saying/idiom (which I don't remember at the moment), that basically says that Russian equipment is made to last. I can bet you they've got some old ass equipment still ticking just fine.
 

John Connor

Lifer
Nov 30, 2012
22,757
619
121
Nah. Russian equipment is the exact opposite. There is an old Russian saying/idiom (which I don't remember at the moment), that basically says that Russian equipment is made to last. I can bet you they've got some old ass equipment still ticking just fine.


Actually, the old Russian idiom is if it ain't broke don't fix it. :D