Originally posted by: homestarmy
Thanks for the info! I will evaluate it a bit further when I get around to it. Probably in a few weeks after I am officially hired. I will keep this thread bookmarked and follow your advice when I do.
If you have nothing better to do, could you show an example of how you feel the optimal way to allocate them (in your opinion) would be? That would give me something to work off of.
I don't like to make individual recommendations (since I haven't spent the time to look up the historical data, nor the yearly fees of all of them). But, I will show you a little tweak of your starting point that may likely do better in the long term.
[*]You are a little heavy in large US stocks. So lets drop that 50% value down a bit, lets say to maybe 35%.
[*]You always should have a little bit of bonds (when stocks do poorly, bonds usually do well, so they carry you through the bad years). Lets say add in 10% of bonds (a bit more aggressive than the standard 20% rule). There are tons of ideas on what to get on bonds and I don't keep up with them. So I just randomly choose one of the stable bond funds that has the a good yield at the moment: VBIIX (inter-term bond index). There may be better choices.
[*]You want more foreign and more small stocks. VINEX (International Explorer Fund) is one choice that fits the bill. Historically it has done well, but it has taken a little hit this year (meaning it isn't too high priced). Maybe add in 10% of that.
[*]Now you are at 105%, we have to cut something. Now a bit too much foreign, and still you are too much on the large side. So maybe cut your large stock foreign fund, VWIGX, to 20%.
The net result there is a much more balanced mix. It is still heavy on large cap stocks. But, if you really want a large percentage of VFINX, that is the best I could do. There is no guarantee that one mix will do better than another, but historically this type of mix should do better than what you started with.
Check out a book by Bernstein,
this is his easiest to read. It'll give you the reasons and examples with real data showing why mixtures like this perform better. He even gives a detailed list of very good allocations (with ~20 funds). Clearly 20 funds is not realistic when you are just starting, but it gives good descriptions as to why that should be your final goal.