(4 Drives) x (43% annual failure rate) = 172% statistical chance the array will fail in the first year alone. Not good odds
This is a highly dubious understanding of how statistics work, you cannot possibly have a greater than 100% chance of array failure, nor can you have a less than 0% chance of array survival. By the same token, you can't have a greater than 100% chance of array survival, nor a less than 0% chance of array failure.
Anyway, the probability of at least 1 drive failure is 1 - the probability of 0 drive failures, and assuming identical independent random variables (and yes, I know that this assumption isn't great, but it is a starting point and probably a lower bound):
1 - .57^4 = 89%
Which, you'll note, is considerably less than 172%, and considerably more sensible.
It's easy to want there to be a "buy X brand for reliability" answer, but real life is harder than that. There are particular models that are better than others, but generally brands don't uniformly produce either good or bad products.. Backblaze's results certainly indicate that you should stay away from the particular 1.5 TB and 3TB models from Seagate that they tested, but the 4TB models appear to have quite a different annualized failure rate, I find the claim that they just haven't had them running for long enough and that somehow they will regress to a 5-10x higher annualized failure rate sometime soon to be highly dubious. I find it even more dubious when there isn't large sample size data backing up the claim.