Quote:
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Oops? forgot the math part?
Hillary and Obama are virtually tied so you can?t make any projections from that.
On the R side, based on Realclearpolitics delegate count:
1142 delegates are accounted for and McCain has 61% of those.
There are 948 delegates left so if McCain wins 60% of those he wins another 568 delegates.
Making his total 1265, more than enough to win the whole thing.
I doubt it works like this as both Huckabee and Romney will most likely get out of the race once it is certain that McCain is going to win. I say after March 4 when Texas and Ohio both vote.


Oppsforgot the math part is the joker in the deck. So lets look at the repubsif 50% of the delegates plus one =1191, total delegates equals 2381. And if only 1142 delegates are now accounted for and McCain has 61% of those, then McCain must have 697 delegates or 93 more delegates than the source I cited. And if only 1142 republican delegates are now accounted for, its not yet quite half over. And if 1142 are now accounted for and 948 remain, total delegates =2090 and not 2381 and its more than half over.
Please don't misunderstand me PJ, I am not arguing with your numbers, its just hard to make sense out of anything here given all the conflicting reports.